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Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: philv who wrote (22065)12/2/2004 12:18:16 PM
From: The Wharf  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 80954
 
I think gold has to continue up. The Euro cannot withstand the demand that is placed on it. Germany's economy is struggling, UK is very questionable and the stronger euro just makes it more difficult to compete in the world market place.

Here US dollar has dropped but wages are increasing. Troops and deficit are increasing too.

If India ever moves towards membership in the Asian Free Trade Agreement that will lead to the euro starting to slide.



To: philv who wrote (22065)12/2/2004 1:07:48 PM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 80954
 
Phil > the POG stands as an easily read report card to the world's fiat money system.

I'm not one who subscribes to that view. I'm of the opinion that gold is, certainly at present, functioning only as a hedge to the USD. If it were a reflection of the world's fiat money system I think it's price would be of the order of tens of thousands of dollars an ounce.

> The above writer seems to have some credibility and knowledge.

Seems like he understand the futures market.

> gold is getting its scheduled kick in the ass to knock it down off its "lofty" pedestal.

No more, no less, than that the Euro or the Canadian dollar etc. As I mentioned yesterday, if the interest rates rise (bonds fall), then the USD can bounce up and with that gold can fall. So a fall in the gold price is really just a version of the dollar game.

> It might have something to do with the soon to expire contract options.

Our friend James is the big player there. Maybe it's he who is unwinding some positions?

> A low gold price is not unwelcomed by the establishment for a whole lot of reasons

That's Bill Murphy's argument which I don't accept or reject. As far as I can see, the "boyz" have far more to think about than the price of gold.

> charts certainly do point out the poor investment that gold has been especially in non-US dollars

Yes, which is the point I was making above.