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Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sea_urchin who wrote (22071)12/2/2004 7:34:02 PM
From: sea_urchin  Respond to of 81108
 
> Big adjustments in the dollar's real value are a certainty. The only questions are when, how and how much.

Richard Russell's opinion.

321gold.com

>>Russell Comment -- [This] is the hard-core, totally realistic view of the situation. news.ft.com Either the US takes a severe recession (which will result in a major reduction in spending) or the dollar must take the fall. At this point, it appears almost certain, to me, that the Fed and the Administration are willing to let the dollar take the fall. This will mean ultimately higher interest rates, and then the question is whether higher rates will bring on a recession anyway. In the meantime, US consumers continue to spend while their saving rate drops to almost zero. It's a barrel of fun while it lasts!

What does it mean for you and me when the dollar falls on a trend basis? It means that on an international or global basis, you and I are getting poorer. You don't believe it? Take a trip overseas and see what your dollars buy today, compared with what they bought a year or so ago.

What about stocks? Right now stocks are considered assets -- and the market is saying, "Buy anything, buy gold, buy silver, buy a house, buy stocks, buy diamonds, buy a Picasso -- buy any damn thing but get out of dollars!"

But what about declining stock profits? The hell with that -- just get out of dollars, and stocks are assets.

Amazing. It's come almost as a shock. "What, the Fed and the Administration are giving their blessing to a collapse in the dollar's international value! How can they do that? How could it happen? And me, sitting here with cash. Quick, tell me where to spend it. What should I buy?"<<



To: sea_urchin who wrote (22071)12/2/2004 10:04:47 PM
From: philv  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 81108
 
Searle, you say that "gold is functioning only as a dollar hedge". But today it took a whacking down, and looks very weak in the near term, while the dollar looks even weaker. Unless of course you believe that the dollar will strengthen soon, and gold is just ahead of that curve. But the long term, doesn't look especially inspiring for the dollar in my eyes (through my glasses) <g> .

Btw: Looking at the very big picture, I find the following article expresses some important trends, and I find arguing against these assertions and facts difficult. It was a fascinating read for me in any case, and I invite your comments.

resourceinvestor.com