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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (17702)12/6/2004 1:33:29 AM
From: GraceZ  Respond to of 116555
 
Any chance the US would short other currencies?
We have no reserves to sell.


Of course we have foreign currency reserves.

treas.gov

The right action in regards to the dollar is to talk and do nothing as the Treasury has been doing. Forex transactions are beyond the scope of intervention at 2 trillion a day.

From the NY Fed site:

Intervention

The U.S. Treasury has the overall responsibility for managing the U.S. government’s foreign currency holdings. It works closely with the Federal Reserve to regulate the dollar’s position in the FX markets. If the Treasury feels that there is a need to weaken or strengthen the dollar, it instructs the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to intervene in the FX market as Treasury’s agent. The Federal Reserve uses the Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) to finance these interventions. Learn more about the ESF .

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York buys dollars and sells foreign currency to support the value of the dollar. The Fed also sells dollars and buys foreign currency to try and exert downward pressure on the price of the dollar.

The transactions in the intervention are small compared to the total volume of trading in the FX market and these actions do not shift the balance of supply and demand immediately. Instead, intervention is used as a device to signal a desired exchange rate movement and affect the behavior of investors in the FX market.

The frequency of intervention in the FX markets by the U.S. monetary authorities has reduced tremendously over the last decade. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York intervened only twice since 1995.

Central banks in other countries have similar concerns about their currencies and sometimes intervene in the FX markets as well. Usually, intervention operations are undertaken in coordination with other central banks.

Most of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s activities in the foreign exchange market are for far less dramatic purposes than to influence exchange rates. The New York Fed often intervenes in the FX market as an agent for other central banks and international organizations to execute transactions related to flows of international capital.



To: mishedlo who wrote (17702)12/6/2004 1:06:11 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 116555
 
Japan to unload US securities why ? after all which CB works on a real P&L basis?

What would be cheaper - 100,000 unemployed of several hundred million in paper loses?

IMHO most FX "news" are for volatility purposes