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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: damainman who wrote (25653)12/7/2004 1:25:52 AM
From: ildRespond to of 306849
 
<<<Bzh is a lock to split>>>

I recall a question on Yahoo DELL thread in 1999 from some novice investor: "Is it true that INTC splits just once a year but DELL splits twice a year?". -g-



To: damainman who wrote (25653)12/7/2004 2:59:51 AM
From: John VosillaRespond to of 306849
 
<That's what strikes me the most too about the speculators. Tops are too hard to call tho- remember the days when stock investors bought every dip thinking it was temporary? I suspect the real estate bubble will go through the same thing until the "bargain hunters" who buy on the dip get waxed.>

You wonder what will be the trigger and how fast the fall comes. There are just so many potential minefields we have never had to this degree before. Even those still in the game that feel a correction is inevitable (and there are many) are sure they will be able to cash in their chips before it happens. This will be the first one in the internet age where most can track shifts in local and bellwether markets in real time. My guess is when it happens that it will occur much faster and steeper than anyone expects.

<As for the homebuilding stocks, the high short interest and put/call ratios combined with the relatively low floats
virtually guarantee that they will continue to go up. Bzh is a lock to split and cause more pain for its crowd of shorts..

Do you think the national homebuilder stocks need to collapse first as a leading indicator of general housing trends? Two smaller midwest builders DHOM and OHB have been dropping all year.