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To: schrodingers_cat who wrote (37222)12/8/2004 6:03:42 AM
From: quehubo  Respond to of 206191
 
It very well may be the fertilizer producers who are making such a difference. I dont think we will have much of a problem balancing S/D in Q1 if we get $5 ng through Q1.

I do not think our energy favs will move up large % #s while ng is moving down to find a better balance.

NOw if we have a week or two at $5 and storage data shows a trend towards 1,000 bcf...

Nobody wants to be holding the bag if drilling is feared to be slowing down even if it slows from a fevered pitch to just being very strong.

Robry data is not showing any sign of hope and I doubt we get one good draw reported this year. Weather forecasts seem to have moderated. Without a major interruption a warm Winter in the USA will challenge OPEC and they need to prove their willingness to actually cut again.