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Non-Tech : The US Dollar vs the Euro and a discussion over exchange rat -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alfred W. Post who wrote (1)12/14/2004 9:05:56 AM
From: scaram(o)uche  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57
 
The Dollar Is the "Wild Card"
Tuesday December 14, 8:12 am ET

With the dollar already having dropped 20% against the euro, Barry Hyman, equity market strategist for New York investment boutique Ehrenkrantz King Nussbaum, thinks it holds the key to what'll happen in the new year. Hyman sees a rise in interest rates and inflation threatening the stock market in the second half. His prediction: "The dollar is going to be the important issue as a wild card for 2005."

In this environment, he points to three sectors for potential investment: industrial cyclicals, consumer staples, and energy. He sees the weaker dollar helping exports in both of the first two areas. But he counsels diversification not just among sectors but also among small-, mid-, and large-cap stocks.

As examples of stocks his analysts like, Hyman mentions two small-cap biotech names, Discovery Laboratories (NasdaqNM:DSCO - News) and Indevus Pharmaceuticals (NasdaqNM:IDEV - News). In industrial cyclicals he suggests an exchange-traded fund to minimize risk, and among the consumer staples he names Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO - News) as a turnaround play (see BW, 12/20/04, "Gone Flat").

These were some of the points Hyman made in an investing chat presented on Dec. 9 by BusinessWeek Online on America Online, in response to questions from the audience and from Jack Dierdorff and Karyn McCormack of BW Online. Following are edited excerpts from this chat. AOL subscribers can find a full transcript at keyword: BW Talk.

(abridged)

biz.yahoo.com

Best regards, Fred.

Rick