Ziasun could be worth 2 billion->Research Dirks & Company, Inc.
"we believe Ziasun can command a $1 Billion market capitalization within 6-9 months, implying a target stock price of $30/share; By the middle of next year, when the market begins anticipating operating results for 2002, a 12-18 month target price of $60/share represents a multiple of less than 40 times that year's earnings"
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ZiaSun Technologies Inc
Research Dirks & Company, Inc. 520 Madison Avenue, 10th Floor New York, New York 10022-4236 email: ray@raydirks.com Ziasun Technologies
(Symbol on OTC Bulletin Board ZSUN)
Recent Price: $ 6.0625 Market Capitalization: $194 million 52-Week High: 15.75 Shares Outstg: 32 million 52-Week Low: 5.50 Insiders Own: 47% (13 million)
EBITDA
Year Revenues (mm) Amt (mm) Mgn EPS P / E Mkt. cap to revenues 1999 (a) $27.2 $10.4 38% $0.23 33 X 9 X 2000 (e) 60.0 23.0 38% 0.25 32 X 4 X 2001 (e) 120.0 46.0 38% 0.65 12 X 2 X 2002 (e) 250.0 109.0 38% 1.55 5 X 1 X
Summary and Investment Conclusion Ziasun recently reported first quarter operating results. Revenues of $14.5 million were 16 times greater than the year earlier period, Gross Operating Profit of $7.0 million represented a 48% margin and EBITDA of $4.3 million ($0.13 in EBITDA per share). Fully diluted EPS of $0.08 compares with negligible year ago EPS. The Company has now applied for listing its stock on the American Stock Exchange; Reflecting divisional earnings momentum begun in last year's fourth quarter and the organic growth Ziasun achieved within each of its three Business Units, we expect first quarter Revenues to be indicative of results for the entire year, producing annual Revenues of $60 million, EBITDA of $23 million, and EPS of $0.25. Beyond, Revenues, EBITDA and EPS are all projected to approximately double over year earlier comparisons sequentially over the next ten quarters; Definitive expansion of the Ziasun Business Model (including its e-Incubator Program) into European markets this year augur. Ziasun Technologies is an Internet Holding Company comprised of three operating segments (Business Units): e-Learning e-Commerce (including international online financial services) e-IncubatorThe e-Learning Business Unit primarily reflects the Operating Results of Online Investors Advantage (OIA) (http://http://web.archive.org/web/20001008112828/http://www.i-advantage.com/). OIA has been designated the leading online investment education firm, independently rated "Highly Recommended" by The Security Blanket(TM), an online education industry observer. Highlights in 1999 for this Business Unit include Over 8,200 "students" trained in 220 investment education workshops OIA held in North America, Australia and New Zealand This is expected to double in 2000 to 16,000 with half of the students in the USA OIA will expand the Australia and New Zealand operations launched in 1999, and launch new operating entities in Canada, UK and Continental Europe in 2000The e-Commerce Business Unit is comprised of (i) a free online portal delivering real-time comprehensive financial news........................
Search Dragon (http://http://web.archive.org/web/20001008112828/http://www.searchdragon.com/) -- a business directory and search engine for Asia (excluding Japan); -- AsiaEnet (http://http://web.archive.org/web/20001008112828/http://www.asiaenet.com/) -- markets the e-commerce portal Tiger Tooth (http://http://web.archive.org/web/20001008112828/http://www.tigertooth.com/); provides Region-relevant content and Internet access with focus upon the four Asian Tiger "New Economies"; -- ServiceLive (http://http://web.archive.org/web/20001008112828/http://www.servicelive.com/) provides 24 x 7 real-time email and telecommunicati..................
Ziasun's Balance Sheet (Amounts in Millions) 12/31/98 12/31/99 3/00 Cash & Marketable Securities $1.3 $12.2 $17.0 Accounts Receivable 0.4 1.1 1.0 Other Current Assets 0.6 0.2 0.5 Total Current Assets 2.3 13.5 18.5
Accounts Payable 0.6 2.1 2.3 Payable Re Incentive Bonus -- -- 6.0 Federal Income Taxes Payable -- 2.1 3.7 Total Current Liabilities 0.6 4.2 12.0
Net Working Capital 1.7 9.3 6.5 Fixed Assets, net 0.5 0.8 0.8 Goodwill 2.1 4.7 116.2 Other Assets, net 1.8 1.0 1.4 Total Net Assets $6.1 $15.8 $124.9
Represented By: Long Term Debt 0 0 0 Shareholders' Equity 6.1 16.0 124.1 Total Capitalization $6.1 $16.0 $124.1
Ziasun Earnings Outlook Our earnings outlook for Ziasun in 2000 is an extension of first quarter results. Revenues for the year of $60 million, 50% Gross Profit Margins, Operating Expenses of $1 million / month. Projected Operating Income in 2000 of $18 million (see table below) represents a 30% margin (versus 19% for 1999). Other Income (Gains on Securities or Gains due to Sale of Subsidiaries) is forecast at $5 million this year (versus $5.4 million in 1999), resulting in EBITDA of $23 million ... more than double 1999's EBITDA. Given that 1999 was a foundation year in amalgamating numerous business units located on three different continents, Ziasun accumulated $116 million in Goodwill on its balance sheet as of March 31st ... which will be written off over each of the next ten years. Generally Accepted Accounting Practices (GAAP) require that a company may write-off its Goodwill over 10 - 40 years; therefore Ziasun is taking this write-off over the shortest time allowable. Hence, we have reflected t..................
ZiaSun Technologies, Earnings Model (Amounts in thousands, except per share items and percentages) 1999A 2000(e) 2001(e) 2002(e)
Revenues $27,220 $60,000 $120,000 $250,000 Gross Profit 9,945 30,000 60,000 125,000 (Mgn) 37% 50% 50% 50% Operating Exp's 4,955 12,000 24,000 36,000
Operating Income 4,990 18,000 36,000 89,000 Other Income 5,442 5,000 10,000 20,000 EBITDA 10,432 23,000 46,000 109,000 Margin 38% 38% 38% 44% Less Depr and Amortization 684 11,500 11,500 11,500
Pretax Income 9,748 11,500 34,500 97,500 Tax Provision 3,784 3,500 12,000 35,000
Net Income 5,964 8,000 22,500 62,500
EPS (fully diluted) $0.23 $0.25 $0.65 $1.55 Average Shares Outstanding 25,796 32,200 35,000 40,000
Implied Market Cap at a Target Price of: $30/share $966mm $60/share $2,100mm back to top main page
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