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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: maceng2 who wrote (18996)12/20/2004 10:06:44 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
UK Nov mortgage lending falls 4th month in a row - CML UPDATE
Monday, December 20, 2004 9:59:28 AM
afxpress.com

LONDON (AFX) - UK November mortgage lending fell for the fourth month running -- in a clear indication that the slowdown in the sector continues, according to data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders

Loans for house purchases fell to levels not seen since the traditionally quiet month of February, recording a rise of just 9.3 bln stg compared with 10.3 bln stg in October. Additionally, the number of loans for house purchases fell to the lowest level since February 2003; to 85,000 in November from 91,000 the previous month

Over recent months, the largest fall in the number of loans has been in London and the South East. Lending in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have levelled off, but not fallen to the same extent as in Southern England, CML said

The CML survey also found that the number of mortgage approvals in November suggest a continued decline in lending in the new year

Remortgaging, however remained strong, rising by 10.6 bln stg in November, compared with 10.2 bln in October and 10.8 bln stg in November 2003

Loans to first-time buyers made up 30 pct of loans for house purchase, down from 32 pct in October but a little above the average over the last two years

Commenting on the figures, CML Director General Michael Coogan said:
"January and February are traditionally weaker months for lending, and so we expect the figures to reflect a market slowdown until the spring. What is is apprarent is a picture of a slowing market, but one that should remain stable as we return to more normal volumes of lending over 2005 as a whole."

forexstreet.com



To: maceng2 who wrote (18996)12/20/2004 10:08:50 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
UK Nov M4 money supply up 0.4 pct from Oct, up 8.5 pct yr-on-yr; Below forecasts
Monday, December 20, 2004 9:58:17 AM
afxpress.com

LONDON (AFX) - M4 money supply was up 0.4 pct in November from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bank of England said in its provisional M4 release

The rise was below analysts' expectations for a 0.6 pct gain and compares with a 0.8 pct increase in October

On a year-on-year basis, M4 increased 8.5 pct, down on October's 9.8 pct and expectations of 9.1 pct growth

M4 refers to "broad money," which includes cash and coins in circulation, bank deposits, and money market paper

In its provisional M4 release, the Bank also reported that M4 lending expanded a seasonally adjusted 7.7 bln stg, well down on the 13.5 bln predicted and up 0.5 pct from October

The 12-month growth rate fell to 10.9 pct from 11.4 pct in October, the BoE said

Excluding the effects of securitisations, M4 lending rose 8.1 bln stg in November

M4 lending refers to sterling loans made by the central bank, banks, and building societies to the private sector

The full M4 release will be posted at the following website: www.bankofengland.co.uk jkm/jc