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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (23658)12/21/2004 12:56:21 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
Looking at it another way gold should track over a period of several decades the growth in broad money supply, Dow Jones avg, rising housing values, and higher oil prices. At its highs in the past the price of gold per ounce has equaled the Dow Jones Industrial Avg. Perhaps they meet again sometime in the next decade.

Why should gold track money supply?
It exploded for years and gold did NOTHING.
Money supply last year or so has been relatively quiet and gold started taking off.

Perhaps you mean you think it should, but that is certainly not what happened.

economagic.com

How ofter and for how long has gold tracked money supply?
Looking at that chart there probably is a negative correlation.
Mish



To: John Vosilla who wrote (23658)12/21/2004 2:02:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Respectfully disagree - housing prices will fall more than gold IMHO.

As to money supply gold lost it's "store of value" status and no government in the world would like that gold should regain this status - to the contrary they want gold to be another industrial metal