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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ramsey Su who wrote (57458)12/22/2004 10:26:17 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
<<the market now has all the characteristics of 1999.

1. lots of money looking for home.
2. trend followers dominate, especially short term.
3. all FA out the window.

... but if this is like a 1999, it can run for a long time. so how does one protect the downside?>>

... yeup.

I just need matters to hold together with anti-matters until end of Q1 2005.

Let us prey and pray, and then loot the burning house :0)



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (57458)12/22/2004 1:12:02 PM
From: Siddhartha Gautama  Respond to of 74559
 
any guess on tomorrow's new home sales number?



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (57458)12/22/2004 9:14:11 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Re: AQ attack on the US - this would have to pretty big or multiple locations to to really hit. A bunch of turkeys with AK-47s shooting up some shopping centers won't do much.

Chemical attacks are hard to make work - See Aum Sinriko in crowded subways with minimal effects.

Nuclear dirty bombs - more fear than threat Move away quickly and shower off....then support for radiation exposure. Really intense radiation sources will show up like a lighthouse on sensors.

Biologicals are the wild cards - but the US has lot of medical facilites, and a large biotech industry. Bird flu scares me a lot more.

***********

I can see an attack, a small market dip then a reversion to mean.

***********

Bond and USD dollar threats are more important in my view.