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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (92169)	12/24/2004 12:10:39 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793564

POst-Moderne blog - Ukraine Update -- 24 Dec - An amazing 12,500+ foreign observers have been approved by the Central Election Commission. This is a fabulous surprise for those of us who were worried about a possible Christmas spoiler effect. The OSCE, for example, has doubled their contingent from the second round of voting. - If new parliamentary elections were held today, the composition of the Rada would change radically. Yushchenko's party would receive 38.8% of the vote, Yanukovych's Regions Party would receive about 24%, the Socialists and the Communists each come in with about 5-6%, and Tymoschenko gets 3%. These would be the only parties to make the 3% cut-off and win seats. This would have a huge effect on the politics of the oligarchs, of course. Medvedchuk would lose the influence of his Social-Dem party, and Kuchma's clan would also be without a viable parliamentary surrogate. The Donetsk clan would be sitting atop the only game in town -- the Regions Party. If Yanukovych plays his cards right, he's going to be a very big man on his side of the aisle, even while losing the election. Obviously, the other oligarch parties won't just sit and let this happen. There will be consolidations and changes. For example, the National Dems and the Workers Parties just merged today, to offset defections. Also, a new party is being formed called "Novaya Demokratiya". The founder describes it as to the right of the Socialists but to the left of the moderate wing of Yushcheko's bloc. It's expected to align with Yanukovych's people if it wins a place in the next parliamentary elections. - Putin is whining that the West is trying to steal the election he already stole fair and square. postmodernclog.com