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To: WWWWWWWWWW who wrote (14884)12/29/2004 5:11:48 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20773
 
Re: The death and destruction is not our fault. I repeat, it's not our fault.

Are you sure? Check again:

Underwater Explosions

Nuclear testing by the United States in the Marshall Islands in the 1940s and 1950s generated tsunami.

tulane.edu

BTW, the threat of man-made tsunamis triggered by underwater explosions is featured in Michael Crichton's latest novel. Crichton, however, is too politically correct to smear the US government or military --his storyline casts the eco-terrorist underground as the villain....

I've just finished reading State of Fear and, although I don't think it's Crichton's best (Jurassic Park and its sequel Lost World rank #1, imo), it's certainly Crichton's timeliest novel so far:

A tsunami of silliness
(Filed: 19/12/2004)

Sam Leith reviews State of Fear by Michael Crichton


Michael Crichton writes thrillers that are like Hollywood movies, full of jump-cuts, far-flung locations, expensive stunts and cool gadgets. Sensible, really, since the ridiculously wealthy fellow gazing handsomely at you from the dust-jacket knows that anything he sets down on paper will be a Hollywood movie faster than you can stab his image with a pair of compasses.


His new novel, State of Fear, has environmental catastrophe as its theme. With The Day After Tomorrow - the film where global warming caused a glacier to eat New York - still fresh in the public mind, it's a theme of the moment. State of Fear is set the day before tomorrow, and Crichton puts a provocative and enjoyable twist on it: here, it's the anti-global-warming brigade who are the baddies.

The premise is that an enormous industry of lawyers and fundraisers and lobbyists has grown rich by playing on public fears about environmental catastrophe, and rubbishing the more sober findings of peer-reviewed scientists. The media is encouraged to treat what is contentious (global warming, the value of Kyoto, and so on) as axiomatic, and everyone cashes in.

Now a sinister environmental charity, in league with a network of eco-terrorists, seeks to really scare up public support by orchestrating a series of man-made catastrophes. All that stands between them and success is John Kenner: secret agent, Olympic quality skier, special forces soldier, supergenius, and a man with top-of-the-head recall of the contents of every academic paper on climate change published anywhere, ever. His reluctant sidekick, and our hero, is a dim and wimpy lawyer called Evans.

The story, of course, is dazzlingly silly: there are masked assassins wielding tiny octopuses; senior government agents who invariably decide that, rather than call in a SWAT team, they'll rush the heavily armed bad guys themselves with the help of a couple of civilians; crocodiles; cannibals; lightning bolts chasing pedestrians; eccentric millionaire philanthropists; dastardly Bond-villain plots to cleave glaciers and launch tidal waves. It is, for anyone who cares not a fig for logic or proportion or coherence - and, if you do, why on earth are you reading a Michael Crichton novel - terrific fun.

The pages whip by. Our heroes zip from exotic location to exotic location in a dead billionaire's private jet, thwarting evil in the nick of time. Practically none of the main characters is allowed to cheat death - in a crevasse, on the brink of a waterfall, in a lightning-chamber and so on - less than twice. Crichton's is a world where men are men, and are called by their second names. Women are women - attractive, feisty, incidental to the plot, and always referred to by their first names, bless their pretty little heads.

Some find Crichton's writing objectionable. I don't. It's a bit windy, but it doesn't draw attention to itself and does exactly what you want the prose in a thriller to do: be bombastic and advance the plot. Crichton's love of technical detail produces a whole host of clunky expository sentences such as: "The geoid is the equipotential surface of the earth's gravitational field that approximates the mean sea surface", but these are more endearing than otherwise. Elsewhere you find the traditional one-sentence paragraphs: "The world was not how you wanted it to be./ The world was how it was./ There were bad people in the world. They had to be stopped." (That's poor old Evans, having an epiphany.)

What's curious about this book - and what occasionally hobbles it - is Crichton's determination to write not just a thriller but a thesis novel. He has spent three years researching it, we read in one of his appendices (appendices!), and he includes a 20-page bibliography (bibliography!). The plot may be fantasy, he insists, but the science in the footnotes (footnotes!) is true. Several long conversations, then, are only there to allow Crichton's proxy, the omniscient Kenner, to make some global-warming true believer look stupid by citing a stream of statistics. I can't vouch for or against the science, but these conversations are pretty tendentious: Kenner talks like a philosopher king and his opponents are always given lines of such unselfconscious dimness that the result is not so much Socratic dialogue as turkey shoot.

Nevertheless, the facts and figures Crichton brings up are, however ill-digested artistically, in themselves interesting enough to justify their presence. And a spoonful of sugar helps the medicine go down. By yoking his environmental hobby-horse to a 1970s-style blockbuster thriller, I dare say Michael Crichton will do more to popularise contrarian views of ecology than Bjørn Lomborg, as a proper scientist, could ever manage.

telegraph.co.uk



To: WWWWWWWWWW who wrote (14884)12/29/2004 5:29:21 AM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 20773
 
This is a VOA news report so I assume it is not anti-US, anti-#1, anti-rah rah....

Experts Say Tsunami Warning System Would Have Saved Lives
By David McAlary
Washington
28 December 2004

David McAlary report - 653K
Listen to David McAlary report

usgs alor quake indonesia 210 eng 13nov04
A tsunami is a series of huge ocean waves that can travel at high speed, making survival for people near its origin less likely than those farther away. Yet Sunday's Indian Ocean tsunami killed people many thousands of kilometers from the source, deaths that experts say could have been avoided if the region had an early warning system like the one in the Pacific.

Tsunamis are commonly called tidal waves, but tides have nothing to do with them. They are underwater waves most often generated by the sudden displacement of the sea floor caused by an earthquake.

Tsunamis move at the speed of a jet, 600 to 1000 kilometers per hour. Even at that speed, however, Sunday's tsunami is estimated to have taken two hours to reach Sri Lanka from its epicenter off the northwestern Sumatra coast, another hour to arrive at India, and three more hours to get to the east African coast.

Yet the giant waves surprised and killed people at all these distant locations. U.S. Geological Survey geophysicist Waverly Person told NBC television's "Today" show interviewers that is because the region lacks a system of water sensors that can warn of an impending tsunami.

"Had they had tide gauges installed, many of these people that were farther away from the epicenter could have been saved because they would have been able to track the waves and tell the people along the coast area to move off the beach and give them an approximate time the waves were going to hit. They couldn't tell them how high they were going to be, but at least they could say, 'This is the approximate time they will hit your area, so move away from the coasts,'" Mr. Person says.

Such an early warning system has been in place for the Pacific Ocean since shortly after a tsunami washed over Hawaii in 1946. Its Hawaiian headquarters is now supplemented by warning centers in Russia and Japan, and a regional network focusing on Alaska and the U.S. west coast. The system monitors hundreds of sea bottom sensors that detect earthquakes and swelling water and many more coastline gauges that measure the height and speed of a tsunami.

At the Tsunami Warning Center in Alaska, Paul Whitmore says the coastal gauges provide vital information.

"It gives us an idea of the severity of a tsunami," Mr. Whitmore says. "What we see on those gauges isn't necessarily the highest wave, but we can take the results of what we see on those gauges and put it into tsunami models to determine maybe how big the wave will be or if there are other places it will be more severe."

Mr. Whitmore says the network can issue tsunami warnings within 10 minutes of an earthquake, much faster than the hour or more it took a decade ago.

The United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization, which oversees the Pacific tsunami warning system, says its International Tsunami Information Center has been involved in activities outside the Pacific in recent years because South Pacific, Indian Ocean, and Mediterranean countries have been asking for help developing warning programs for their areas.

But Waverly Person of the U.S. Geological Survey says the rarity of such events in the Indian Ocean is probably the reason a system was not in place before Sunday's tragedy.

"They probably have experience some of what you call local tsunamis, but not anything of this magnitude. It may have been that they thought, 'Since we haven't had a history of many big tsunamis, we don't need this warning system,'" Mr. Person says.

Experts note that the Pacific tsunami warning system is not foolproof, especially for coastal dwellers near the epicenter. Paul Whitmore says they must learn to be alert.

"The existing warning system can help those that are, say, 30, 40 minutes, an hour away from the tsunami. We can get messages to those people," Mr. Whitmore says. "But the majority of people who get killed in tsunamis are right near the coast, and our warnings may not reach those people quickly enough. So the best thing to do as far as saving lives is education of those near the coast to know that if they feel a strong earthquake, they need to get inland or to high ground and not wait for a warning."

Mr. Whitmore also advises never go to the beach to watch a tsunami, for no one can outrun one.