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Politics : Election Fraud Reports -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Orcastraiter who wrote (392)12/30/2004 9:36:36 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 1729
 
A Dominant GOP? How So?
________________________

The Election Proves Only That the Voters Remain Closely Divided

By Scott Turow
The Washington Post
December 26, 2004

Before Election Day, our news organs and pollsters told us, with virtual uniformity, that the American electorate was sharply polarized and evenly divided. Since Nov. 2, however, much of the analysis and opinion has adopted an entirely different narrative: The Republicans won an imposing victory, evidenced by a presidential mandate and increased majorities in both the House and Senate that may portend GOP domination of American politics for years to come.

I was confused enough that I decided to do some research of my own. The numbers I found reflect a picture much more like the one being drawn before the election -- a closely divided country with neither party holding a commanding edge in voter loyalties.

Without diminishing the Republican victory or minimizing the Democrats' failure to capture a single southern or mountain state, I think it's important to point out several election results that have drawn little or no attention.

* George W. Bush's popular-vote margin over John Kerry is the lowest ever recorded by an incumbent president -- slightly less than 2.5 percent of the more than 120 million votes cast, including absentee and provisional ballots that have now been tallied. Since 1824, when the national popular vote was first recorded, 14 presidents have been elected to serve again. Woodrow Wilson held the previous record for the closest popular-vote margin by a sitting president, 3.2 percent in the 1916 election.

This shouldn't underrate Bush's achievements. He improved on his 2000 performance, winning a slight majority this year -- a little less than 51 percent. And it is probably a tribute to his political skills that he won at all because sitting presidents tend to win decisively, or lose. But by the yardstick of history, the Bush victory cannot be taken as a resounding chorus of support from the American people asking for more of the same.

* Almost all of Bush's gains in 2004 can be accounted for by his success with one group -- voters 60 and over, according to exit polls. Leading press analyses of Bush's victory have glossed over this fact, focusing instead on young voters, who purportedly failed to appear in large numbers for Kerry; on Bush's gains among Hispanic voters; and on evangelical Christians who voted in larger numbers and strongly favored the president.

According to the national exit poll, conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for a broad pool of American news organizations, voters 60 and older were 24 percent of the electorate this year. (Hispanics, by contrast, were only 8 percent.) In 2000, Al Gore beat Bush in this age group, 51 to 47 percent. This time, the president ran seven percentage points ahead of his 2000 totals. That's a dramatic pickup. Had those 7 percent voted for Kerry instead, he would have narrowly won the popular vote and, with the same gain in Ohio, the Electoral College.

* Given the rising cost of Medicare premiums during Bush's first term, the unpopularity of his prescription drug plan, the flu vaccine shortage and the president's proposal to revamp Social Security by introducing private accounts, his success with older voters appears almost magical. To account for it, I asked the assistance of Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International.

First, according to Joe Lenski, an Edison executive vice president, the president's gains came entirely from voters aged 60 to 74. He was up 10 percentage points among 60- to 64-year-olds and eight points among 65- to 74-year-olds, his two largest gains in any age group. With voters 75 and over -- the age group most acutely concerned about health care, according to the exit poll -- Bush lost three percentage points compared to 2000.

Why did Bush do so well with the over-60 crowd? Warren Mitofsky of Mitofsky International provided a further analysis that distinguished this age range from all voters. "The biggest difference," he said, "is among men. The men in the 60-and-over group supported Bush by 60 to 39 over Kerry. Among all men they supported Bush by only 55 to 44." Mitofsky looked at the issues that might have keyed those different responses. Older voters did not cite "moral values" any more often than other Americans (22 percent in general, 21 percent among the over-60s). But three other issues seemed to cut in the president's favor with this age group: gay marriage, resistance to the idea that government should do more to solve problems, and Bush's handling of the economy. Of the three, Mitofsky said, gay marriage mattered most. In short, Bush's key success was with older -- and old-fashioned -- male voters.

* The notion that the touted youth vote didn't materialize for Kerry is, at best, a misleading one and probably just plain wrong. The percentage of voters under 30 (17 percent) was the same in both 2000 and 2004. But in the battleground states, this age group was 19.4 percent of the electorate and their turnout was almost 65 percent as compared to 51 percent four years ago, according to an analysis of the Edison/Mitofsky data done by CIRCLE, an organization that encourages and monitors the youth vote. Nationally, the under-30 group favored Kerry over Bush 55-44, a much better margin than Gore's 48-46 advantage in 2000, according to the exit poll data. In all-important Ohio, the differences were even starker: This year, the under-30 set favored Kerry, 56-42. In 2000, Gore won only 45 percent of the young Ohio vote.

Kerry's impressive gains among the young just weren't enough to overcome Bush's even more significant gains among the old. But that's hardly a formula for continued Republican domination. Time will take a heavier toll on the older group. And aging voters have sometimes favored Democrats anyway.

* The Republican congressional success could also stand a more nuanced analysis. In Senate races, there can be no doubt that the GOP thumped the Democrats, capturing four seats to push its total to 55. The Democrats lost close elections that they might have won in Alaska and South Dakota, and failed to retain a single seat being vacated by a retiring Democratic senator in the South.

The picture in the House, however, was far more equivocal. The Republicans gained four seats -- but the entire pick-up, and more, came down to the five seats gained through a new redistricting of Texas's congressional districts, which took place not in response to the census but to Republicans gaining control of the Texas legislature in 2002. The legality of that second redistricting remains under challenge, with the U.S. Supreme Court having recently returned the question to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit.

Looking under the hood on this year's returns offers no guarantee that Democrats won't lose to the Republicans again in 2006 or 2008. Democrats discovered in November that much of the political belief system that governed their tactics was mythological. They have long blamed turnout and the Republican money machine for their losses. This year they made strong gains on both fronts and lost anyway.

One of the ironies of Republican claims that their victory this year presages a generation of triumph is that their view sells George Bush short, just as the Democrats have habitually done. The implication is that the Republican message mattered more than their messenger. Yet Bush has shown an impressive ability since he first ran for governor of Texas against Ann Richards to win tough elections and to connect with middle-class voters. The good news for Democrats? Bush won't be on the ballot four years from now.

The numbers from November aren't evidence of a political sea change. Instead they suggest that we will go into 2008 deeply and evenly divided again.

______________________________________________

Author's e-mail:

scott@scottturow.com

Scott Turow is a lawyer in Chicago and the author of several books, including "Reversible Errors" and "Ultimate Punishment."



To: Orcastraiter who wrote (392)12/30/2004 11:51:08 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 1729
 
No holiday for vote thieves

sfbayview.com

by Glen Ford and Peter Gamble, publishers of BlackCommentator.com

The dean of the Congressional Black Caucus is confident that at least a few U.S. senators will join House members on Jan. 6 to question the fairness of the Nov. 2 election. John Conyers Jr., the ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, told Salon.com he doesn’t believe the Senate will repeat its performance of four years ago, when Black lawmakers sought in vain for one senatorial objection to “official misconduct, deliberate fraud and an attempt to suppress voter turnout by unlawful means” in Florida, as Congressman Alcee Hastings, D-Fla., put it at the time.

“No, I think the Senate is going to go along with an inquiry this time,” said Conyers. “I don't think they would embarrass themselves to let this happen two times in a row … I just don't think the Senate would get caught in that position.” Conyers is careful not to name names, claiming he hasn’t spoken directly to a single senator, but adding, “There are Republicans who support what I'm doing who haven't been willing to come forward.”

Conyers is the indispensable person among the righteous Grinches who are casting a shadow over the Republicans’ holiday. Through his hearings in the Capitol and Ohio – unsanctioned and unattended by Republicans – and his engagement of the Government Accountability Office to study election “irregularities,” the 75-year-old Detroit lawmaker has thrown an institutional spotlight on GOP crimes and misdemeanors. How “high” these crimes can be connected is another story, but there is no doubt that massive violations of a variety of laws occurred on the ground. Conyers prefers to call them “things that went wrong” in swing states like Ohio:

“It depends on what part of the state we're going to examine. In Hocking County, a private company accessed an election machine and altered and tampered with it in the absence of election observers. It disturbed a deputy chair of the election in the county so much that she has given a sworn affidavit that has been turned over to the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and we're in the process of running that down.

“But what about in Cleveland, Ohio? There, thousands of people claimed that their vote for Kerry was turned into a vote for Bush. Poll workers made mistakes that might have cost thousands of votes in Cleveland. And in Youngstown, machines turned an undetermined number of Kerry votes into Bush votes as well. Provisional ballots were thrown out. There were several conflicting rules. There was mass confusion. In Warren County, they talked about (the possibility that) terrorism might close down the election. I mean, please.”

Conspiracy? Conyers understandably avoids using a word that corporate media so eagerly associate with nut cases. Instead, Conyers employs a less loaded term:

“Well, you know, orchestrated attempts don't always require a conspiracy. People get the drift from other elections and the way (campaign leaders) talk about how they're going to win the election. When you have the exit-polling information discrepancies that occurred in 2004, where the odds of all the swing states coming in so much stronger for Bush than the exit polls indicated – they say that that is, statistically, almost an improbability.”

But conspiracies do exist; they occur every time a group of persons plans to commit criminal acts. Conyers knows this. He’s not only a lawyer, he’s a Watergate lawyer, having sat on the same Judiciary Committee that saw Richard Nixon’s presidency unravel in 1973-74.

District attorneys in big cities across the nation love conspiracy law, designed to connect the seemingly random depredations of criminal gangs. Conspirators can be convicted even if they don’t know all the other players or the whole scope of the criminal enterprise. They need only be shown to have acted in the furtherance of the larger scheme.

Sounds very much like Rep. Conyers’ “orchestrated attempts,” doesn’t it?

To catch a vote thief

A prosecutor like Rudy Giuliani would have a field day with the GOP’s myriad 2004 criminal offenses. Just a few examples:

l Nathan Sproul, the former head of the Arizona Republican Party (and of the state’s Christian Coalition), managed a multi-state, Republican National Committee-financed campaign to sign up new GOP voters. In the process, his poorly paid employees, pretending to be non-partisan voter registration workers, reportedly destroyed hundreds if not thousands of signed, but unwanted, Democratic registration forms – serious criminal offenses committed in concert in the furtherance of the GOP’s electoral fortunes. A non-Republican “Giuliani” would want to know about every conversation Sproul had had with Republican Party officials over the course of at least a year. Investigators would interview each of Sproul’s interlocutors, and warn them – and Sproul – of the additional penalties attached to conspiracy. The investigator’s goal is to “turn” conspirators into witnesses in the search up the chain, or to catch bad actors in a lie – an additional charge to hold over their heads. This is how the larger scheme – the criminal enterprise – is routinely fleshed out.

l According to the Free Press, a team of 25 men calling themselves the “Texas Strike Force” positioned themselves at a hotel across the street from Republican Party headquarters in Franklin County, Ohio (Columbus), and proceeded to make intimidating phone calls to likely Democratic voters, “targeting people recently in the prison system.” These imported Texans’ rooms were reportedly paid for by the Ohio Republican Party. A “hotel worker heard one caller threaten a likely voter with being reported to the FBI and returning to jail if he voted” – a crime if committed by an individual, but a much more serious conspiracy if engaged in by the entire interstate flying squad and the Republicans who paid, accommodated and sent them on their felonious mission. There is a raft of conspiracy angles to be worked in this case – angles that could lead … anywhere in the GOP matrix in Ohio, Texas and beyond.

l Another issue of the Free Press – an excellent chronicler of the GOP election crime wave – reported that in “a largely minority area in Hillsborough County (Florida) half as many voting machines were in use as had been used for the earlier primary …. (A)s it turned out, the same happened all throughout Florida and Ohio. But in predominantly Republican neighborhoods, plenty of voting machines were on hand, lines were normal, and everyone who wanted to vote, did.” Such practices form a pattern, conceived by real persons, who handed down orders to other persons, with the result that Black precincts were so starved of voting machines that it was mathematically, predictably and deliberately impossible to service the area’s voters.

Those who act in concert with others to violate the Voting Rights Act or related laws (such as the National Voter Registration Act, in the sidebar) should be confronted with the prospect of conspiracy charges in addition to criminal penalties - prison time - for individual offenses. That’s the way gangsters are brought down, every day.

Thousands of perps

The “dozens of problems” of which Rep. Conyers speaks are actually hundreds of specific criminal offenses involving perhaps thousands of persons acting with large or small groups of others in Ohio and Florida alone. Investigators should view the legions of co-conspirators in Republican election crimes – some casual or even unwilling, others purely mercenary and politically unreliable – as assets, potential witnesses in a constellation of criminal conspiracies, any one of which might lead to the Mother Lode: the Bush inner circle.

We have purposely not dwelt in this article on the mega-crimes whose outlines became apparent in statistical analyses of the exit polls vs. tabulated votes in “battleground” and other states, or damning variances in results depending on modes of vote counting – the hawk’s eye view of the crime. (On Wednesday, Rep. Conyers called on news organizations to provide his committee with raw exit poll data, rather than the numbers that were “adjusted” to conform to the official vote tallies.) What has too often been lost in the conversations surrounding the 2000 and 2004 elections is the fact that laws already in existence have been violated.

In every other arena of criminal justice, it is standard procedure to entangle suspected perpetrators in their own lies and in the lies of their co-conspirators. Yet somehow, this practice does not obtain when Black voting rights are criminally violated. It is as if no crime has been committed at all, just mere voting “irregularities.”

“Get over it,” say the corporate media. Concentrate your energies on “reforms” from the next Congress, or the one after that, say others, including some people who claim to be “progressive.” Such responses are maddening, outrageously racist at their very core, the product of a profoundly Jim Crow worldview that denies African Americans their full measure of dignity as human beings, that treats our victimization as a matter of course whose resolution – but never redress – can always be put off to another, more convenient day. To paraphrase the infamous U.S. Supreme Court Chief Justice Taney’s 1857 Dred Scott decision: “African American voters have no rights that the larger society is bound to protect.”

It is these rights that are at issue, Black human and citizenship rights. The outcome of the presidential election is secondary.

Hostility to Black citizenship

It has been suggested that violations of Black voting rights are treated lightly by media, prosecutors and predominant white public opinion because of the “white collar” nature of the crimes. Not so. As with all aspects of criminal justice in the United States, race is the primary prosecutorial and political determinant. With a zealotry that spans seven generations, from Reconstruction to the present, yesteryear’s Dixiecrats and today’s Republicans have succeeded in firmly linking the words “Black” and “vote fraud” in the public mind. This historical mythological association is the rationale for the now-routine invasion of Black polling places by hordes of GOP “observers” – whose real mission is voter intimidation.

Registering-voters-while-Black has long been a crime in Dixie. Alabama and federal lawmen spent four years, beginning in 1995, prosecuting Black Belt electoral activists for alleged absentee ballot fraud. The Nov. 15, 1999, issue of The Nation recounts:

”In all, nearly 1,000 people in three counties were questioned and asked to submit handwriting samples to state and federal officials. The investigation was a joint state and federal undertaking spearheaded by Alabama Attorney General Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III, a politician with a history of making racist comments about blacks and launching voter-fraud investigations in predominantly black counties. He would go on to win a seat in the US Senate in 1996.”

Confronting the full weight of the state and federal governments, nine African Americans ultimately pleaded guilty to fraud charges in 1999. According to The Nation article, the feds were much more lenient with North Carolina Republican Sen. Jesse Helms who, while “trailing a black opponent in 1990, mailed out postcards to 125,000 black voters implicitly threatening them with jail if they went to the polls. Helms's campaign settled a complaint with the Justice Department in 1992, but not before he had won another term.”

Ain’t a damn thing changed in the 21st century. As columnist Bob Herbert reported in the New York Times this past August, Florida Gov. Jeb Bush’s State Police targeted Black, mostly elderly members of the Orlando League of Voters on “suspicion” of absentee ballot vote fraud. Joseph Egan, an Orlando lawyer who represented some of activists on the state’s hit list, told Herbert: "People who have voted by absentee ballot for years are refusing to allow campaign workers to come to their homes. And volunteers who have participated for years in assisting people, particularly the elderly or handicapped, are scared and don't want to risk a criminal investigation."

No, vote fraud is only treated as a white collar infraction – an “irregularity” – when the alleged perpetrators are white.

The truth is, somewhere around a majority of whites don’t really think African Americans should have an unqualified right to vote – although very few will say so, and most may be unaware of their constricted views of Black rights. This is the only conclusion that can be derived from a study by Harvard political scientists Michael Dawson and Lawrence Bobo, which found that 62 percent of whites surveyed just before the 2004 election believed Blacks had little reason to worry that they would be prevented from voting. Such fears were either “not a big problem” (20 percent), “no problem at all” (17 percent), or a “complete fabrication” of the Democrats (25 percent). In nearly identical proportions, whites surveyed shortly after the 2000 election tended to dismiss Black complaints of voter suppression and fraud in Florida. These numbers reveal far more than ignorance or denial, but rather an underlying hostility to full Black citizenship rights.

(Close to half of Americans don’t think Muslims should have full citizenship rights, either. A Cornell University poll found that 44 percent of respondents favor some degree of curtailment of Muslim Americans' rights, including 27 percent who say Muslims should be required to register their locations with the federal government. These are undoubtedly the same people who believe Democrats fabricated all those stories about abuse of Black voters in Florida.)

Thus, the corporate media may be more reflective of than responsible for the widespread demand that African Americans “get over” the events of the last two presidential elections. Recounts and investigations of systematic Black voter suppression are made to seem ridiculous if the results do not alter the outcome. By such reasoning, it would not matter if all the Black voters of Alabama and Mississippi were turned away from the polls, since whites were going to give George Bush the electoral votes of those states, anyway.

Crimes against Black citizenship do not matter unless it can be proven that the election was tipped in the process - or maybe not even then. Television news personalities smirk while presenting election protest items, conveying the message: “You lost. Why don’t you people quit?” As if the harm done to untold numbers of Black citizens is of no consequence. It’s like telling a rape victim to “get over it” and be grateful she wasn’t killed.

This pervasive mindset also infects elements of the white “left.” Greg Moses, editor of the Texas Civil Rights Review, calls it “type two racism” – the dogged insistence on disconnecting race and racism from election crimes:

”Overt racism by right-wing Republicans is the core dynamic at work here, but it is aided and abetted by invisibility racism found in left commentators and media reports, who fail to center the civil rights struggle. An issue that is clearly about racism and civil rights has been whitewashed into ‘voter fraud’ generica. Type one racism answered with type two.”

Serious business

Given the hostile backdrop, post-Nov. 2 protesters, investigators, litigators, agitators and fundraisers are nothing less than heroic. Although he would disagree with the notion, Rep. Conyers is acting as “our” Special Prosecutor, methodically laying the factual groundwork for future legal and political action while at the same time giving the “troops” a central focus around which to orbit.

Already a congressman for nearly a decade when the Watergate hearings began in May 1973, Conyers is a long-haul legislator and lawyer who understands the critical importance of documentation. “I ask and invite everybody to turn in any evidence that they want that helps prove whatever position they believe, or even a position they don't believe,” he told Salon.com. “But this isn't a hunch and suspicion game. This is very serious business.”

The arrogant and shameless Ohio Secretary of State, Kenneth Blackwell, who refused an invitation to appear before Conyers’ hearings, has earned his place at the nexus of the investigation. “I know that Kenneth Blackwell made some decisions that were blatant and outrageous for a secretary of state,” said Conyers. “How he felt that his head was big enough to be chairman of the ‘Re-elect Bush’ committee and also head of the administration of the electoral vote for the president in that same state was beyond me. … There are very few people who did what he did.”

Conyers’ Dec. 2 letter to Blackwell reads much like a prosecutor’s document. For example:

(27) “How did you inform your workers, and the public, that their vote would not be counted if cast in the wrong precinct?” (28) “Your directive was exploited by those who intentionally misled voters about their correct polling place, and multiplied the number of provisional ballots found invalid. What steps have you or other officials in Ohio taken to investigate these criminal acts?”

We think Conyers smells conspiracies, or at least some very nasty “orchestrated attempts” to break the law.

Without Conyers’ clear determination to press forward with hearings, it is doubtful that the “movement” - if it can called that - to lay bare the facts of Nov. 2 could have been sustained to this point. There might have been no national “scene of the crime” rally in Columbus, Ohio, scheduled for Jan. 3; no growing list of Electoral College electors demanding, for the first time in history, a “complete investigation”; and little prospect of even one senator standing with the Congressional Black Caucus on Jan. 6, when the body meets to certify the Electoral College vote. And no possibility, however remote, of anyone going to jail for the crimes of Nov. 2.

Absent relentless agitation, litigation and investigation of the past election, Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr.’s constitutional amendment guaranteeing the right to vote will come to naught, as will every other effort at meaningful election reform.

Rich man’s dream

Hawking his Social Security personal savings accounts, George Bush this week attempted to explain his vision of an “ownership society,” stammering: “One of the philosophies of this government is if you own something, it is – it makes the country a better – if more people own something, the country is better off; you have a stake in the future of the country if you own something.”

Political translation: The best society is one in which those who own, rule. This was in fact a core belief of the Founding Fathers, who created a system in which a very tiny cohort of white men with property held all political power.

In a brief but brilliant 1994 essay, “Democracy Was Not What They Had on Their Minds,” Marquita Hill points out that only 30,000 voters – less than 1 percent of the population – participated in the presidential election of 1796 in which John Adams defeated Thomas Jefferson. Only about 112,000 citizens took part in the 1804 election, out of a total population of more than 6 million!

“Total votes didn't top a million until Native American killer Andrew Jackson's defeat of John Quincy Adams in 1828,” Ms. Hill wrote. By then, the U.S. population was approaching 12 million. Hill concludes: “Handfuls of white, male propertied voters established the precedent that only their kind would sit in the White House.”

This was the intention of the founders who launched the nation on its rule-by-the-white-rich trajectory. Our struggle is to force that trajectory to “bend toward justice.”



To: Orcastraiter who wrote (392)12/30/2004 1:42:41 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1729
 
You're ready to prove your assertion, right? I'm mean more than just some obviously biased source and a reporter pissed off that his side might not successfully steal an election? If that were the case out here, it would be in the MSM.

Oh, would you like some (good California) cheese with that whine?