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To: bcrafty who wrote (110877)12/31/2004 12:58:56 AM
From: cthruu  Respond to of 209892
 
That is interesting.

I was simply looking at the charts and the similarity struck me - glad to have come company from the Punditry :)

I do not know or follow Don Luskin and Fred Goodman. There was in fact a sharp selloff on the first three days of trading in January 2000. However, I would venture to say that while January 2005 may trade water, there will not be a sharp selloff as this Don Luskin is predicting. Nor will the markets blow off in March 2005.

Look at these weekly charts and you see a major difference - December 1999 was the top of the bubble and 2004 is in the beginning of a now longer term bull wave.

ttrader.com\'s%20charts&id=879&d=2

I think the current major up trend has lots of legs left.

Of course, I could be wrong - I thought USD was bottoming at 82.50 :( I still think that the dollar is in a bottoming process here. Time will tell.

By the way, the charts were telling me that March 2003 was a major bottom and the ensuing rally was something like August 1982 beginning of the secular bull. I posted my thoughts on our bulletin board and they laughed. They were talking about Dow 5000 and SP 500 then :)

We will let the pundits predict. We will flow with the charts and let the markets do the talking.