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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Suma who wrote (154981)	12/31/2004 2:48:33 PM
From: michael97123	Respond to of 281500

Elections in iraq put us at about the same time as vietnam back in 1966 according to stratfor, right at the time of the big escalation to 500k soldiers. Even if we wanted to and even if the case could be made that 500k would secure victory, we just arent able to even attempt it with our current force levels and our current world wide problem with terrorism. We can secure 2/3 of the country with minimal forces and make some progress in securing the borders. What happens in the Triangle stays in the triangle so to speak. Sun suggested some time ago that a natural direction for the iraqi triangle was to merge with Syria. Baathists uber alles but there is some ethnic sense to this move as there is for separate kurdish and shiaa states. It wouldnt be the end of the world for US fp as long as iraqi shiaa want to provide some balance from their stronger iranian neighbors by keeping US troops in place in shiaastan. mike