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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: J.T. who wrote (18786)	12/31/2004 4:09:39 PM
From: adad69	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

Will we not see the 5 0f 5 up in 2005. Hey that almost rhimes!

To: J.T. who wrote (18786)	12/31/2004 6:30:09 PM
From: yard_man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

if you just look at volality of the DOW within the last 3 years stockcharts.com[m,a]daclyyay[df][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G 9000 easily in reach -- for 8000, you'd have to go back a little farther. I suppose the way it would happen is the same way it always does when there is a decline: -- more sellers than buyers?? I would be interested in your guesstimates for what will happen with the volatility indices themselves into the first part of the new year -- how low can we go? Have we bottomed? Can we just drift along flat for a good while? Honestly, I am suprised that options volatility and bond spreads both have simply gone to the bottom and stayed there for a while. Do you have some good fundamental ideas for that or is your approach strictly technical??

To: J.T. who wrote (18786)	12/31/2004 6:55:47 PM
From: yard_man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

you've ridiculed Bernie's 2005 predictions -- the only thing we know about a forecast is that it is going to be wrong -- you want to add your equivalent forecast here at the close of 2004?? Mid-year Yearend Dow Jones 9,000 8,000 S&P 500 950 825 Nasdaq Composite 1,950 1,600 Russell 2000 575 550 The above prediction doesn't seem crazy to me -- unless you call all forecasts that aren't bullish crazy by definition ... At any rate -- we have Bernie's numbers we can look at here about mid-year. Have a happy new year.