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Politics : Israel to U.S. : Now Deal with Syria and Iran -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: geode00 who wrote (6535)1/3/2005 5:39:08 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22250
 
Re: Then again, they may be within months or years of having the capability to enrich uranium which is a phenomenal upgrade on...

...Iran's ability to strong-arm Israel (into sharing Jerusalem).

Re: Would Europe say yes to an invasion?

I'm afraid Europe is merely a "dummy variable" in the US/Israel/Iran equation... However, I expect that a US-Israeli assault on Iran would entail dire reprisals against Europe --I call it the "Madrid Syndrome". As you know, my theory for the Madrid 311 bombings is that Syria commissioned the Basque terrorist organization ETA to work it out... Spain was the weakest link in the US-led coalition waging war in Iraq and, expectedly, she recalled all her troops from Iraq once PM Aznar left office --but did it change anything in Iraq? Did the removal of Spain change the big picture? Nope: weeks later, Bush announced that an additional 20,000 US troops were on their way to Iraq...

Likewise, although Europe will certainly not be part of a war on Iran, it IS part of the ongoing negotiations to avert war and dissuade Iran from enriching uranium --somehow, Iran's insistence to INVOLVE Europe along with her brinkmanship with the US means that Europe won't be able --or allowed-- to wash her hands from an eventual failure. Europe won't be able to play the go-between or the "honest broker", fail to avoid a US-Israeli assault on Iran, put the blame on this and that, curse the "neocons" and... get away with it! After all, there are European countries that openly support the US policy --and are currently "sharing the burden" in Iraq.

So, my prediction is that Europe will find itself in the same vulnerable position as Spain was in March 2004 --piggy in the middle. Unfair, pathetic, eery --but likely.

Re: Would Bush do a preemptive strike and use those tactical nuclear weapons to wipe out civilians by the boatload?

Actually, Bush may no longer be in the script at that point... He may himself be the expendable, if unwitting, pawn of the Judeocons' gambit to trigger the Iran war. An Iranian/hezbollah connection to his assassination will be cooked up, Dick Cheney will jump in the driver's seat and Reza Pahlavi (Iran's roving crown prince) will be hyped up as Iran's best hope....

Gus