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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/4/2005 8:39:29 PM
From: shoreco	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 100058

Tonight seems like a good time to lay out my projections for 2005... I think 2005 will be a traders market where the swings will be far greater than the tight range we experinced in 2004... I say this because I believe all the forces that were at work in 2004 will no longer be behind the scenes... Markets never go straight up or straight down for that matter, but since March 2003 this market has all but forgotten about the days of the Great Bear... I think the SPX has a near term top not so far above our current levels (maybe 1250ish), but I'm going to go out on a limb and call for a low of around 1000ish in the latter part of the Summer into the Fall. I think the end of 2005 will be far different than those of 2003 and 2004, but I'm not ruling out a year end rally, I just think it will come from far lower levels and we'll end the year with little or no gains on the indices... I think the DOW will become a favorite place this year (a safe haven) and will probably out-perform the small caps. I'm going for a new all time high (not by much) and a low around 9400ish... I think the Nasdaq will toy around the 2000k mark (flipping above and below, but I think the highs are already in and i'm looking for a low around 1650ish... The RUT and SML will get smacked around a little this year and while new all time highs are possible (we're really close now), I'm going to call for lows of 500ish and 250ish respectively... There you have it, this "forecast" is anything but a bulls dream, and more or less a swing traders paradise... May the trend be with you... EOM Shoreco

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/5/2005 6:16:22 PM
From: aerosappy	Respond to of 100058

Dow 12/31/05 = 11567 High = 12187 Low = 11017 SPX 12/31/05 = 1303 High = 1380 Low = 1084 Nasdaq Composite 12/31/05 = 2346 High = 2451 Low = 1961

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/9/2005 11:30:02 PM
From: kleht	Respond to of 100058

Shoreco: Well, I've said before that my predictive powers were rather nonexistent - and I proved it for 2004. As further proof I will throw out my projections for 2005 and once again wait for the dust to settle: DOW Hi - 11700 Low - 9830 Close -11400 SPX Hi - 1300 Low - 1090 Close - 1250 NASDAQ Hi - 2350 Low - 1975 Close - 2270 CAVEAT I'm assuming here a further rise in the early part of the year, but only a moderate one. If stocks move up like gangbusters early on, I think we could be in real trouble. IMHO we need a good rest in here for the market to continue up. OTHER THOUGHTS Rising short-term interest rates - so: Dollar won't go much lower - and: Gold will not rise much either. Pressure will be on Europe and other areas to lower interest rates and for Japan to open up the money supply. (to drive their currencies down and growth up) China will not succeed in a soft landing - no real scientific way of doing so. Banks are weak, too many holes in the system, reliable institutions not built up yet - so: Oil prices not likely to rise much - and same for other commodities. JMHO

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/10/2005 3:49:41 AM
From: Drbob512	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 100058

shoreco: Here is my 2005 forecast. Yr High Low Year Close Dow 10,868 9650 10,025 S&P 500 1218 1060 1105 Nasdaq 2160 1750 1805 The range will get lower each quarter until we bottom in Sept/Oct. USD will rally in January and February and then fall to below 80 support this year, to a low of 72 in 2nd half of the year. Crude oil will find support at 38-40 in the first quarter, then rally this summer and fall to 56/barrel. Other commodities will also rise from their lows seen in the first quarter of 2005, but will also rise in the 2nd and 3rd quarter, although none of the commodities will rise as much as they did in 2004. 10 year note yield will rise to 4.5% by 2nd quarter and ultimately reach a high for the year near 4.8%. Spot gold will test the 400 level in the Jan-Feb timeframe, but will be higher by the 3rd quarter, possibly back up to the 450 area. JMHO, Dr.Bob

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/10/2005 9:30:49 AM
From: FLACK	Respond to of 100058

shoreco - 2005 guess S&P 500 High 1270 Low 1061 Close 1249 Sorry, no guesses on the Dow and the Comp as a surfeit of activities has limited my charting time.

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/17/2005 4:18:45 PM
From: shoreco	Respond to of 100058

From: alleyratt 1/16/2005 6:23:21 PM To: shoreco who wrote (88859) of 89111 shoreco - 2005 PREDICTIONS.... Dow High = 12037 Low = 9889 Close = 11989 SPX High = 1294 Low = 1078 Close = 1198 Nasdaq Composite High = 2396 Low = 1959 Close = 2366

To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/17/2005 4:19:23 PM
From: shoreco	Respond to of 100058

From: akbud 1/17/2005 3:34:34 PM of 89112 2005 PREDICTIONS.... Dow High = 10868 Low = 9100 Close = 9900 SPX High = 1217 Low = 1175 Close = 1165 Nasdaq Composite High = 2191 Low = 1750 Close = 1975