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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Henry Niman who wrote (996)	1/11/2005 5:27:32 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (4) \| Respond to of 1070

emedicine.com The speed of the Black Death in the 14th century seems too quick for a rat to flea to human propagation method. Influenza types can propagate that fast, across whole populations in a single season, or maybe two. The symptoms described seem in part like 1918 influenza symptoms. Anyway, it shows that 30% mortality megadeath can occur in vulnerable populations and that can happen in 6 months or maybe two flu seasons. Given that we now have the ability to create vaccines, the effort going into preventing perhaps a billion deaths seems too low. Mqurice