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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: baystock who wrote (19993)1/15/2005 6:18:09 PM
From: blind-geezer  Respond to of 60908
 
dude, did you look at the open interest numbers ???

the last couple of times when it bottomed, the open interest numbers were much higher ...
does the open interest numbers matter, I don't know, but if it does, then we might not have bottomed ...



To: baystock who wrote (19993)1/15/2005 6:47:13 PM
From: jjplo  Respond to of 60908
 
COTs

softwarenorth.net current
2003 softwarenorth.net
2002 softwarenorth.net
2001 softwarenorth.net (long first 5 months)



To: baystock who wrote (19993)1/16/2005 8:03:41 AM
From: Square_Dealings  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60908
 
The COTs have not been very useful in predicting many market moves over the past year imo.

Grains had a five year record commercial long position for a long time and they have continued to fall like a rock.

Commercials have built short positions in the stock market to near all time highs as the stock market has gone up.

If anything I think the COTs are good contrarian indicators now, which I dont understand. But it is possible that as commercials reduce shorts in gold and the stock market that they both fall.

HUI/Gold ratio is a leading indicator and its way too close for comfort now imo. Too close to breaking the long term trend. It looks heavy to me

stockcharts.com[h,a]wacaynay[df][pc40!b8!f]&pref=G

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