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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (95601)	1/17/2005 10:18:48 AM
From: LindyBill	Respond to of 793698

TKS [ jim geraghty reporting ] [ archives \| email ] IN HOTLINE DNC POLL, DEAN HAS THE EARLY LEAD, BUT... [01/16 09:46 PM] The Hotline reports that they surveyed the entire DNC membership 1/11-14 and received responses from 187 members; approximately 42 percent of the entire DNC membership. While we believe this is about as scientific of a survey that can be conducted of the DNC; For the record, every member of the DNC was contacted at least 3 times. The results below include percentages and the actual tallies; many respondents who participated refused to answer every question in our survey. 1st Choice For DNC Chair Howard Dean 31% (58 votes) Martin Frost 16 (30 votes) Tim Roemer 4 (8 votes) Donnie Fowler 4 (7 votes) Wellington Webb 2 (4 votes) Simon Rosenberg 2 (4 votes) David Leland 1 (1 vote) Undec/Refused 40 (75 votes) When DNC members were asked for their second choice, Martin Frost led with 11 percent and 20 votes, Howard Dean came in second with 9 percent and 16 votes. Fowler and Webb got 13 votes each. When asked for their "last choice," Tim Roemer got 16 percent and 29 votes, and Howard Dean got 11 percent and 21 votes. If these 187 members are representative of the entire DNC, then Dean is in good shape, as is Frost. The centrist views of Roemer appear to be a tough pill to swallow for most DNC members. UPDATE: What would have been really valuable would have been an explanation as to why Roemer was the least-appealing choice to so many DNC members. It’s easy to conclude that those 29 members who ranked him last are a sign that state and local party leaders just aren’t buying into his pro-life views, his call for tougher talk on national security issues, and the idea of reaching out to non-liberal red state voters. At least a strong plurality prefers Dean’s call to energize the party’s own base, and a refusal to moderate or (in their eyes) water down their policy stands and rhetoric. The New Republic called Dean’s strategy of riling up the base an “utterly wrong” theory of how Democrats ought to win elections. After spending the post-election months fuming and dismissing red state voters as hicks and fools, it’s hard for Democrats to suddenly turn around and try to win the votes of those hicks and fools. It’s much more satisfying to believe, as Dean does, that there are hidden troves of Democratic voters out there waiting to be “energized” by a feistier, angrier, more pugnacious party.