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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: microhoogle! who wrote (21710)1/18/2005 11:33:03 PM
From: GraceZ  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
The annual averages of this measure are interesting. People were the most comfortable when they should have been concerned and the most worried when they should have been comfortable.



To: microhoogle! who wrote (21710)1/19/2005 12:33:28 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
The Washington Post-ABC News Consumer Comfort Index Survey

Tuesday, January 11, 2005; 1:09 PM

The Washington Post-ABC News Consumer Comfort Index (CCI) is a rolling average based on telephone interviews with 1,000 randomly selected adults nationwide conducted over the previous four-week period. New data is released every Tuesday at 5 p.m.

The index is based on three core questions. These questions ask respondents to rate the condition of the national economy, the state of their personal finances and whether now is a good time to buy things. Margin of sampling error for the results of each of the component questions is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The index is computed by subtracting the negative response to each question from the positive response. The three resulting numbers are then averaged. The scale can range from +100 (if every respondent gave positive responses to each of the three questions) to -100 (if all respondents expressed consistently negative views.) In practice, over its 19-year history it has ranged from a high of 38 in January 2000 to a low of -50 in February 1992.

ABC News began conducting this measure of consumer attitudes in December 1985. The Post replaced Money magazine as co-sponsor of the index in January 2005.

Interviewing for the index is conducted by International Communications Research of Media, Pa. Questions about the CCI can be addressed to polls@washpost.com.

The Post-ABC Consumer Comfort Index is a rolling average based on telephone interviews with 1,000 randomly selected adults over the previous four-week period. The latest index is based on interviews through Jan 16.

• Details of survey methodology | • Archive of past weekly data sets

01/16/05            This  Last  4 Wks 3 Mo. 1 Yr. 12 Mo 12 Mo 12 Mo
                    Week  Week   Ago   Ago   Ago  High   Low   Avg
                    ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Group
--------
GENERAL POPULATION:
Overall Index         -11    -9    -5   -11    -3    -3   -22   -11
 State of Economy     -16   -16   -16   -26   -12   -12   -42   -24
 Personal Finances     10    14    18    12    18    22     4    14
 Buying Climate       -28   -26   -16   -18   -14   -14   -32   -22
-------------------------------------------------------------------
                           OVERALL INDEX BY DEMOGRAPHIC GROUPS
Sex:                
   Men                 -2    -1     4     3    14    14   -15    -2
   Women              -18   -16   -13   -24   -17   -10   -28   -19 
Age:                 
   18 - 34              0     1    -1   -16     3     3   -23    -9
   35 - 44            -21   -15     6   -16    -1    11   -29    -9
   45 - 54             -8   -11    -3     3   -10    10   -23   -10
   55 - 64            -14    -9   -15   -10     2     3   -34   -14
   65+                -20   -19   -19    -9    -8     2   -33   -14
Income:                 
   Under $15K         -45   -42   -51   -42   -51   -35   -68   -53
   $15K To $24.9K     -50   -52   -46   -42   -23   -21   -61   -37
   $25K To $39.9K     -14   -16   -24   -29    -8    -2   -44   -23
   $40K To $49.9K      -8    -3    -2     7    10    27   -29    -7
   Over $50K           14    19    35    22    29    35     7    19
   $50K To $74.9K      -4     4    24     4   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A
   $75K To $99.9K      25    21    32    36   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A
   Over $100K          33    38    51    42   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A
Region:                
   Northeast          -25   -26    -8    -5    -6    -4   -27   -16
   Midwest             -9    -5    -8   -11    -2     7   -29   -12
   South               -8    -7    -3   -13    -2     4   -21    -9
   West                -2    -1     0   -10    -1     5   -21    -8
Race:                	
   White               -7    -5     2    -4     3     3   -19    -6
   Black              -37   -37   -46   -39   -35   -20   -59   -39
Politics:                  
   Republican          27    28    33    39    35    47    17    34
   Democrat           -32   -32   -37   -44   -28   -28   -47   -38
   Independent        -17   -17    -7   -20    -2    -2   -40   -19
Education:                  
   < High School      -31   -36   -28   -45   -26   -21   -60   -40
   High Sch. Grad.    -26   -19   -14    -9    -8    -2   -32   -16
   College +            6     6     9     0    10    14   -10     3
Home:                     
   Own                 -2    -1     7    -4     7     7   -16    -3
   Rent               -35   -33   -32   -27   -24   -19   -46   -31
Marital Status:                  
   Single             -15   -16   -11   -21   -11    -8   -29   -19
   Married              2     6     6     4    11    15   -15     2
   Sep/Wid/Div        -36   -41   -24   -31   -22   -21   -43   -32
Employ. Status:               
   Full-Time           -3     2    12     5    12    12   -16     1
   Part-Time          -13   -10   -15   -20    -5    -2   -34   -15
   Not Employed       -20   -23   -22   -26   -21   -16   -36   -24




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