SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Ask Vendit Off-Topic Questions -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Walkingshadow who wrote (4151)1/23/2005 7:49:33 AM
From: Vendit™  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8752
 
Terry,

In The Market Wind newsletter I always included a long and a short setup list of candidates at the end of each issue but I have not been scanning for shorts and posting the list on this thread. Under the circumstances and based on the chart of the QQQQ I will include a scan of short setups this week.

There is no doubt that we will get a short lived relief rally by mid-week but the trend bias is still down. You can see the support “power candlestick” on the left side of this chart where the relief rally should begin.

139.142.147.218

I will reason it all out a little later today.

Reid



To: Walkingshadow who wrote (4151)1/23/2005 11:22:04 AM
From: Vendit™  Respond to of 8752
 
My analysis of the QQQQ dated 1/23/2005 is as follows:

I drew the following custom chart of the QQQQ which shows that the QQQQ has shifted from consolidation to a continuation of the previous correction that we spoke of two weeks ago. Having fallen through the six month trend line on Tuesday of the week before last after testing support at $38.00, $38.00 failed on Thursday of last week.

themarketwind.com

Analyzing the trend line; All hopes for a bounce back above the upper trend line were dashed last week when the QQQQ gapped below support at $38.00. I added the Zigzag study to the chart this week which clearly shows the QQQQ on a slide towards next support as indicated on the chart above. First support level is $36.58.

Analyzing the Power Candlestick; After last week’s drop we now have a new power candlestick to take into consideration as we watch the QQQQ. I have this stick highlighted in yellow on the chart above. This stick’s top, middle and bottom show us where the next three lower support levels are for the QQQQ. Expect the QQQQ to move to the top of the stick over the first few sessions of the coming week and then bounce at the top of the power stick, i.e. the first relief rally. ($36.58)

Analyzing the Bollinger Bands; The Bollinger Bands are widening which indicate a continuation of the trend. I consider this a confirming indicator of what the chart has revealed thus far based on my above analysis.

Analyzing the stochastic oscillator; The stochastic oscillator is running flat with no indication of a buy signal. Comparing it to the MACD oscillator which is showing us that the trend has no momentum through the close on Friday, I am convinced that there is more downside to come.

Analyzing the Volume; The trading volume during the last two days of last week was greater than normal which means that the correction and drop below $38.00 was meaningful.

Over the next several weeks I believe that the QQQQ will fall back to the $35 level before a full technical rebound can begin. There will be short-lived relief rallies on the way down.

See this three year chart of the QQQQ:

themarketwind.com

Reid



To: Walkingshadow who wrote (4151)1/23/2005 11:51:10 AM
From: Vendit™  Respond to of 8752
 
Free Hand Scan – Monday’s List - Long Plays. 1/23/2005

ARIA bullish engulfing

139.142.147.218

MNTG bullish engulfing</b.

139.142.147.218

SSP bullish engulfing, sexy bollies

139.142.147.218

SIMG morning star

139.142.147.218

EFJI morning star

139.142.147.218

NXG morning star

139.142.147.218



To: Walkingshadow who wrote (4151)1/23/2005 12:13:09 PM
From: Vendit™  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8752
 
Free Hand Scan – Monday’s List – Short Plays. 1/23/2005

HYSL bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

ICOS bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

LLTC bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

SHPGY bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

TELK bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

ZBRA bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

APA bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

EL bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218

SWY bearish engulfing

139.142.147.218