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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GST who wrote (156885)	1/24/2005 10:18:08 AM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

How do you feel about the shiaa acceptance of a secular Iraq per NYTimes today? I dont want to sound too optimistic here but i suspect post-election the current insurgency will have some real problems as shiaa invite sunnis in to particpate, more iraqi forces begin to be deployed, american forces move to low profile and kurdish and shiaa militias start to go after the insurgents who have been killing their people. The big question is whether the sunnis come to their senses or if they are able to with help. Regardless of your opposition to the war etc, you would have to agree that if the above all happens it is better for iraq than zarquawi and/or baath rule, no?????

To: GST who wrote (156885)	1/24/2005 10:28:57 AM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

MY point to you is that even if history proves you right about the invasion, once that invasion became a fact, decisions need to be made from that point on. So you can be as pissed off as you want and rightfully so given your beliefs, but that does not mean it is impossible for us to agree on next steps. So lets say, next steps are the reverse of vietnamization--disengagement rather than sending more troops and allowing shiaa and kurds to do some of the heavy lifting and trying to find a way to include sunnis in the new order. IF all this is done and done well, my belief is that there is a real possiblity that the insurgency splits up as nationalists move toward reconciliation while rejectionist terrorists get their clocks cleaned by all the forces surrounding them including their former nationalist allies. I am not saying this happens in a day but i sense that is a possible outcome. I heard that we got another zarquawi guy yesterday and zarquawis language indicates that he expects a long guerrilla struggle. mike