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To: Snowshoe who wrote (59460)1/26/2005 5:56:20 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Snowshoe,

OK, I agree with what you've just said. The notion that global warming had anything to due with the recent Sumatran tsunamis is very far-fetched.

I just read a delightful natural history of the massive eruption of Krakatoa, written by Simon Winchester, which is full of excellent information for the layman about plate tectonics, subduction zones and the local geology of the Sumatran region. Forces much greater than global warming were at work on December 26.

***
Re: Where Mq and I disagree is on the potential rate of future ice sheet melting. He thinks it would take thousands of years, and that humans would have plenty of time to adapt.

In the BBC article which I referenced above, the research team was observing melt rates of up to one meter per month at certain recording stations. To say the least, this is phenomenal, as far a geological events are concerned.

The principle concern of most scientists who have studied the accelerating warming occurring in the North Atlantic region is that thermohaline cycle, which creates the Gulf Stream, may collapse in a matter of years rather than centuries, plunging the region into climate chaos over a very brief period of time.

Even the Pentagon has written a planning document on the potentially catastrophic effects of such an event occurring.

grist.org
grist.org



To: Snowshoe who wrote (59460)1/26/2005 8:58:25 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<Where Mq and I disagree is on the potential rate of future ice sheet melting. He thinks it would take thousands of years, and that humans would have plenty of time to adapt>

Where did you get 1000s of years? People would have lots of time to adapt to melting, but that means more like 50 years or 100 years. I actually think we are more likely to get freezing, but certain to get bonzo tsunamis to make any melting sea level changes trivial. We have recently seen the effects of rapid sea level rises.

It has always seemed obvious to me that such sudden sea level rises, in the space of a fraction of a second, are far more dangerous than similar sea level rises over 50 years. But each to their own ideas. I find it pointless to try to talk sense into people. They should worry about 50cm sea level rise over the next 10 or 20 years - that's the ticket...

Mqurice