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Politics : I Will Continue to Continue, to Pretend.... -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/9/2006 5:11:39 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
Admin. Downplays Military Planning on Iran

Sunday, April 09, 2006

WASHINGTON — A magazine news story suggesting the Bush administration will go to war to stop Iran from developing a nuclear bomb is long on hype and short on facts, a senior administration official said Sunday.

The New Yorker's Seymour Hersh claims in his report that the Bush administration is increasing clandestine activities inside Iran to create regime change and to plan a major air attack.

According to the report, members of the Air Force are "drawing up lists of targets, and teams of American combat troops have been ordered into Iran, under cover, to collect targeting data and to establish contact with anti-government ethnic-minority groups." The report also said President Bush likens Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to a present-day Adolf Hitler with nuclear ambitions.

In Sunday editions, The Washington Post also reported the United States is studying military strike options in Iran to be used as a tool of "coercive diplomacy." The report said an attack is not likely in the shortterm and many inside the administration doubt its efficacy.

But a senior Bush administration official downplayed the reports, saying the "Pentagon is always making plans for countless contingencies. It would not be prudent not to do so. But the U.S. government has made clear it is a diplomatic approach that is being taken regarding Iran."

Another official said to "consider the source" when it comes to The New Yorker's reporting. "This story is breathlessly over-reported and hyped without knowledge of facts or the president's thinking. The president himself has refused to rule any options out and said that diplomacy is our strategy, that Iran must never have a nuclear weapon."

"Sy Hersh probably got some information that was looking at a deterrent strategy against nuclear terrorism, and in that deterrent strategy against nuclear terrorism they had to show how, if nuclear weapons went off in the United States, how we, in fact, would respond, and we would immediately target Iran," FOX News military analyst Lt. Gen. Tom McInerney suggested.

Military analysts have in the past told FOX News that all options, including a military strike, are on the table. The United States has been flying surveillance drones over Iran periodically for the past two years to try to gather more information, and Iran has been the main topic in recent meetings between U.S. and Israeli defense officials.

Israeli officials are said to be "much further along" in the planning stage for possible airstrikes. Their intelligence reportedly shows Iran to be much closer to developing a nuclear weapon than U.S. analyses; and Ahmadinejad has made no disguise of his desire to "wipe Israel off the map."

But British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw says the idea of a nuclear strike on Iran is "completely nuts."

Beyond diplomacy and military strikes, Alireza Jafarzadeh, an Iranian foreign policy analyst and FOX News contributor, said the United States has another option on the table.

"There is a third option — (it) is to empower the Iranian people to change the regime from within. Iranians are opposed to the regime. The younger generation are very much opposed to this and this is the population that revealed the military sites in Iran," he said.

Some U.S. military analysts say launching an attack on Iran would be counterproductive. Iran's Islamic regime said it will retaliate against any U.S. military action by launching terrorist attacks on U.S. soil.

A Pentagon spokesman said Sunday the U.S. government has been very clear about its approach to dealing with Iran. The Pentagon and State Department are working diligently with international agencies such as the International Atomic Energy Agency and the United Nations to address the troublesome activities.

foxnews.com



To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/9/2006 8:00:06 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
SY HERSH: BLOWING U.S. COVER

By Michelle Malkin
April 09, 2006

Seymour Hersh appeared on CNN with Wolf Blitzer today to share such pearls of wisdom as this: "Instead of talking about bombing, let's talk about talking." Hat tip to Allah Pundit, who writes:
    "Here's the man of the hour, defending his willingness to 
publicize info about clandestine ops and then preaching
the virtues of empty diplomacy."
Download and watch the video (.wmv file).
media.michellemalkin.com

Dr. Sanity says "nuts" to Hersh: The Iranian Circle Game
drsanity.blogspot.com

Regime Change Iran has a weekend briefing.
regimechangeiran.blogspot.com

Joe Gandelman, in the pro-Hersh camp, has a comprehensive round-up.
themoderatevoice.com

michellemalkin.com



To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/9/2006 8:52:23 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
Bomb, bomb, bomb. Bomb, bomb Iran

Posted by: McQ
The QandO Blog
April 08, 2006

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think what Seymour Hersh is breaking as a hot story is, in reality, pretty run-of-the-mill Pentagon planning:


<<< The administration of President George W. Bush is planning a massive bombing campaign against Iran, including use of bunker-buster nuclear bombs to destroy a key Iranian suspected nuclear weapons facility, The New Yorker magazine has reported in its April 17 issue. >>>


Well of course they are.

It's called contingency planning.

All scenarios are covered and planned for with the operative word being "all". What, you think military actions are done on the fly?

Think about it. Before the first bomb would fall on Iran, a whole heck of a lot of planning has to have been done (and executed). Identifying units which would fit the scenario. Positioning the units. Positioning their logistical support. Deploying the units. Etc., etc., etc.

It doesn't happen by magic.

So you put a plan together (one of many), you put it on the shelf, and if and when you see the assumptions upon which the plan is built coming to pass, you dust it off, update it and turn it from and Operations Plan into and Operations Order. It saves oodles and scads of time.

Folks, that is what planners in the Pentagon get paid to do. We have just about every conceivable scenario you can imagine (to include nuclear) on the shelf and we're constantly reassessing and updating them as new weapons systems, units, tactics or threats are made available or recognized. Believe it or not there are plans sitting on the shelf to nuke China. And North Korea. And probably Russia.

*gasp*

Iran would obviously be no exception.

So, in my opinion, you can take this bit of "reporting"...


<<< A senior unnamed Pentagon adviser is quoted in the article as saying that "this White House believes that the only way to solve the problem is to change the power structure in Iran, and that means war."

The former intelligence officials depicts planning as "enormous," "hectic" and "operational," Hersh writes.

One former defense official said the military planning was premised on a belief that "a sustained bombing campaign in Iran will humiliate the religious leadership and lead the public to rise up and overthrow the government," The New Yorker pointed out. >>>


...with the appropriate large grain of salt. Oh I'm sure it's happening, but not for the reasons implied.

Maybe it's just me, but whenever I see "senior unnamed Pentagon advisors" or "former intelligence" or "former defense officials" cited, well, I'm just not overly impressed. Seems a bit too poorly cited not to mention breathless to me.

Of course, lately, Hersh hasn't at all been impressive in his reporting. Remember this from a Hersh speech?


<<< For me, it's just another story, but out of this comes a core of — you know, we all deal in “macro” in Washington. On the macro, we're hopeless. We're nowhere. The press is nowhere. The congress is nowhere. The military is nowhere. Every four-star General I know is saying, “Who is going to tell them we have no clothes?” Nobody is going to do it. Everybody is afraid to tell Rumsfeld anything. That's just the way it is. It's a system built on fear. It's not lack of integrity, it's more profound than that. Because there is individual integrity. It's a system that's completely been taken over — by cultists. >>>


Yes indeed, and now the cultists are going to nuke Iran.

Like I said ... large grain of salt.

qando.net

news.yahoo.com

qando.net



To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/10/2006 2:51:00 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
STRATEGYPAGE doesn't think much of the Seymour Hersh Iran story:

Instapundit
    American journalists and politicians, who are hostile to 
American operations in Iraq, are pushing a story that the
U.S. is planning to use nuclear weapons for an attack on
Iranian nuclear weapons facilities. They offer no proof,
and no explanation of how an American president would hope
to survive the diplomatic fallout from using nuclear
weapons for the first time since 1945. Iran loves these
stories, because it enables the Islamic conservatives to
make any democratic reformers appear unpatriotic for
wanting free elections like those in the United States.
Thanks, guys! Meanwhile, here's the regular war news roundup over at Winds of Change.
windsofchange.net

instapundit.com



To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/10/2006 3:25:17 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
Nuking Iran

Posted by B. Preston
JunkYardBlog

Why does anyone believe anything Sy Hersch writes? He is the journalist who wrote a dark note early in the Afghanistan war about a US commando raid that went south and got lots of US troops killed. It was fiction. Didn’t happen, not the way Hersch wrote about it, and in fact not at all. He was either making it up or fed disinformation by someone who was against that war—and if the latter is true Hersch bought the tale hook, line and sinker. Much of what Hersch has written in the past few years has been likewise fiction—stuff that either he or his prolific anonymous sources are just making up to serve an anti-war agenda. It almost never turns out to be true.

So now that he’s writing about an alleged Bush plan to nuke Iran’s nukes, bloggers should pause a second before posting and ask themselves a simple question: “Why would Hersch be right this time, when he’s been wrong so often lately?” And here’s a second question that’s worth asking: “If Hersch really has a source who is telling him about a US plan to nuke Iran, what is that source’s agenda?”

That’s relevant because Hersch never gets his sources for these cloak and dagger stories on the record. They’re always anonymous.
They could, therefore, be anyone from Dick Cheney to Joseph “It’s all about me!!!” Wilson. And as you might surmise, the difference in credibility and agenda between those two sources is as vast as the distance between Pluto and the Sun. If Cheney’s the source, for instance (and please—I’m not saying Cheney is the source, this is just a hypothetical), the story could be intended to get the mullah’s collective attention and perhaps get them to see that we’re deadly serious about stopping their nuclear program. But if Wilson is the source (again—hypothetically), well, you have a whole different set of options. Wilson lied about the Iraqi intent to acquire yellowcake. We could surmise that he’s lying to Hersch too to support his long-standing anti-war and anti-Bush agenda. If the source is one of Hersch’s usual CIA types, then it’s very likely that that source belongs to the same group that fed him his Afghanistan nonsense and may be connected to the Wilson Iraq-related trip. But we don’t know and can’t evaluate the source, because Hersch has granted them invisibility.

Because Hersch keeps his sources guarded, we can't check them for anything. We have to go on Sy Hersch’s word. And as far as I’m concerned, his word is worthless.

AND ANOTHER THING: If the plan is real—which it probably isn’t—it’s comical that liberal bloggers are among the most veklempt about it. They’re the ones who pre-emptively killed off any chance of us expanding the military via a draft when it might have made sense to at least think about having one (we are at war, after all, and Iran and North Korea won’t just magically solve themselves). And liberals make any military action involving a single US troop so controversial that it’s almost become unthinkable to deploy any troops against any enemy no matter how threatening, and Iran, with its apocalyptic president pursuing nukes, is about as threatening as enemies come. So we’re left with options like massive airstrikes that may even involve tactical nukes. If libs have a better idea, I’d love to hear it.

There are consequences to every action and choice. By politically removing ground troops as an option available to the president as liberals have pretty much done over the past couple of years, we’re left with worse options. It’s one more reason to keep liberals as far away from the levers of real power as possible for the foreseeable future. They Cannot. Be. Trusted.


junkyardblog.net

themoderatevoice.com

newyorker.com



To: Sully- who wrote (7382)4/10/2006 4:04:05 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 35834
 
Sly Sy

A journalist’s latest tricks.

By John J. Miller
National Review Online

EDITOR'S NOTE: Seymour M. Hersh is one of the most lionized reporters in the liberal media, but in recent years his journalism has been noteworthy mostly for its antipathy toward the Bush administration and the war in Iraq. His latest dispatch, appearing this week in The New Yorker, claims that the president is considering the possibility of nuclear strikes against Iran. (Linked below a much more sober-minded account of the administration's deliberations and options on the Iran threat, published in yesterday's Washington Post.) In 2001, however, NR's John J. Miller showed that Hersh's bold claims are best treated with enormous skepticism; we've reprinted the story below.

“At The New Yorker, each article undergoes an extensive fact-checking process: Quotes are confirmed, details authenticated, the spellings of names verified, and so forth,"
write that magazine's editors in their November 12 issue. "This is well known." With jaw-dropping piety, they go on to note that their "grueling procedure" applies even to cartoons.

It is The New Yorker's reputation for rigorous fact-checking that made a story appearing in the same issue such a sensation.
Seymour M. "Sy" Hersh, one of America's most celebrated investigative journalists, reported stunning new information about the military's nighttime raid, on October 20, of Taliban leader Mullah Omar's compound in Afghanistan. Air Force Gen. Richard B. Myers, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, had said the mission "overall was successful." Hersh, however, labeled it "a near-disaster," and provided astonishing details: "Twelve Delta members were wounded, three of them seriously." It was the first time anybody in the public at large had heard this. Hersh's article was the talk of the Sunday news shows on November 4, before copies of The New Yorker had even hit the newsstands; he made a number of media appearances to explain his version of the events.

If Hersh's account is correct, it is deeply troubling. It not only conjures up images of botched special operations of the recent past, such as the Desert One mission in Iran (1980) and the "Black Hawk Down" catastrophe in Somalia (1993), but also suggests that the Pentagon won't provide basic facts about the war, even when doing so poses no reasonable threat to national security.

But if the claims coming out of the Pentagon deserve close scrutiny-and they do-then the same must go for Hersh's reporting. It turns out that key assertions in his article are very probably wrong, even as Hersh uses them to opine on the airwaves about how the war should be fought.

Hersh, of course, is no ordinary reporter. Over the past 30 years, he has won just about every journalism award there is, including the Pulitzer, which he took home for uncovering the My Lai massacre in Vietnam. His articles and books are full of revelations. In the first New Yorker piece he wrote after September 11, for instance, he reported that an unmanned aircraft had a clear shot to kill Mullah Omar on the first night of the bombing-but that a military lawyer forbade the attack.

This was disputed, just as virtually everything Hersh writes is disputed. It's become a ritual: Hersh publishes an eye-popping story, and then the complaints pour in. Sources say they weren't quoted properly. Others claim Hersh takes material out of context and ignores facts that don't comport with the point he wants to make. According to a Vanity Fair profile of Hersh, A. M. Rosenthal, the former executive editor of the New York Times (where Hersh worked in the 1970s), once heard him "practically blackmailing" a person he was supposed to be interviewing.

Hersh has admitted mistakes in the past. His 1991 book The Samson Option, which said the Israelis owned nuclear missiles, relied for much of its information on a man Hersh now admits "lies like people breathe." In an interview three years ago with The Progressive, Hersh said, "If the standard for being fired was being wrong on a story, I would have been fired long ago."

His methods came under severe criticism following the publication of his 1997 bestseller The Dark Side of Camelot and its negative portrayal of John F. Kennedy.
While conducting his research, Hersh came across what looked like his biggest scoop since My Lai: a cache of unknown JFK documents offering apparent proof of an affair with Marilyn Monroe, among dozens of other tantalizing factoids. Hersh gained access to them through Lawrence X. Cusack, a man who claimed his father was a lawyer for Kennedy. The papers eventually were shown to be forgeries-Cusack is now in prison-but Hersh refused for months to disbelieve them, coming up with desperate rationalizations for skeptics who wondered why documents containing ZIP codes were dated before ZIP codes even existed. Hersh was so eager to get his hands on the papers, he wrote a letter to Cusack stating that he had "independently confirmed" the relationship between JFK and Cusack's father. This was a lie. "Here is where I absolutely misstated things," testified Hersh during Cusack's trial. Assistant U.S. attorney Paul A. Engelmayer accused Hersh of playing "a little fast and loose with the facts."

Ultimately Hersh stepped back from the brink. He tried to develop a television documentary about the JFK papers, and his partners were able to prove convincingly that they were fakes. The final version of his book did not cite them. But critics complained about the material he did use, because of its thin sourcing and its treatment of speculation as fact.

    "In his mad zeal to destroy Camelot, to raze it down, 
dance on the rubble, and sow salt on the ground where it
stood, Hersh has with precision and method disassembled
and obliterated his own career and reputation," wrote
Garry Wills in The New York Review of Books.
Conservatives enjoyed the controversy, because it involved liberals attacking each other and made JFK look bad. Yet Wills was essentially correct in his assessment.

Hersh defended his interest in Kennedy's sex life. "I put in all the sex stuff because it goes right to his character, his recklessness, his notion of being above the law," he told the New York Times. Hersh did not apply this same standard to what he called the "Clinton sex crap." One year later-and a month before Bill Clinton's impeachment-he lambasted the press for "climbing into the gutter with the president and the Republican radicals . . . the same Republicans who say you can't have Huckleberry Finn in libraries." When he did criticize Clinton, it was always from the left, for "what he's done to welfare, what he's done to the working class, what he's done to habeas corpus."

Hersh saves his real ire for Republicans, accusing the GOP of having a racist foreign policy:
"Ronald Reagan found it easy to go to Grenada, and Bush found it easy to go to Panama, to the Third World, or to people of a different hue. There seems to be some sort of general pattern here." The war in Afghanistan must only confirm these prejudices.

The latest New Yorker story quickly became the latest Hersh controversy. Top military officials have denied its primary claim of a disastrous mission that included serious casualties.
"That's not true," said Gen. Myers on Meet the Press, when Tim Russert asked him about the article. "My belief is that every soldier that came back from that particular raid is back on duty today; none of them seriously injured, certainly none of them injured by the Taliban." Rear Adm. John Stufflebeem concurred: "The reports I have seen just don't support that article's supposition." Army Gen. Tommy Franks added, "We had a bunch of these young people who, you know, had scratches and bumps and knocks from rocks and all this sort of stuff. And so, it's-it's probably-it's probably accurate to say that maybe-maybe five or maybe 25 people were, quote, 'wounded.' We had no one wounded by enemy fire."

Clearly, somebody's not telling the truth. Perhaps the matter might have cleared up if Hersh had confronted the generals with his information before reporting it. This is Journalism 101-let everybody involved have a chance to comment-and yet Hersh chose to consider only one side of the story.

It is difficult to double-check Hersh's work because of its heavy reliance on anonymous sources. Perhaps in time the full truth of October 20 will come out. For now, though, there is a single assertion in Hersh's story whose truth can be independently assessed. Hersh writes: "The mission was initiated by sixteen AC-130 gunships, which poured thousands of rounds into the surrounding area but deliberately left the Mullah's house unscathed."

The Pentagon won't discuss operational details, but it's extremely unlikely that the mission involved 16 AC-130 planes. The Air Force has only 21 of them, and a number of these are set aside for training in Florida. More important is the fact that these big planes, full of firepower, don't fly in such large clusters. During the invasion of Panama in 1989, the Air Force used only seven of them at once. In the Gulf War, only a few were in the air at a time. Would 16 of them lead a relatively small special-forces operation in Afghanistan? "It makes zero sense," one Air Force officer told me.

When I asked Hersh about this apparent discrepancy, he was dismissive.
"I wasn't there. Somebody could have misspoke. I could have misheard. It's possible there weren't 16," he said. "If I'm wrong, I'm wrong." He did admit that he had made an error during his November 5 interview on CNN, when he said the mission involved "sixteen helicopter gunships" rather than 16 AC-130s. "That time I did misspeak," he said.

Although The New Yorker says it assigned several fact-checkers to Hersh's article, it would seem that Hersh is once again playing fast and loose with the facts.
And what does that say about his central claim of twelve men wounded, three of them seriously? "That's what my source told me," he says.

This is more than a simple matter of getting facts straight. Hersh has taken his contentions and used them as a basis for blasting the conduct of the war. "The operation was much too big. . . . It was noisy. It was slow," he said on his round of TV interviews. "Delta Force is so mad that they think-the language is that this time we lost twelve. Next time, if they do it again the same way, we're going to lose, you know, dozens. We can't operate that way."

The next time he seems to break a big story in The New Yorker, though, it's important to remember that General Hersh wasn't there-and also to recall a line from Evelyn Waugh's Scoop, in which an editor advises a war correspondent: "If there is no news, send rumors instead."

— John J. Miller is national political reporter for National Review and the author, most recently, of A Gift of Freedom: How the John M. Olin Foundation Changed America..

nationalreview.com

washingtonpost.com