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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Taikun who wrote (34111)1/28/2005 3:22:34 PM
From: loantech  Respond to of 39344
 
T,
In the late 70's and early 80's I think some of the mining stocks actually peaked almost two years after the metal but memory is the 1st thing to go. <g>

t



To: Taikun who wrote (34111)1/28/2005 3:29:31 PM
From: Condor  Respond to of 39344
 
It has been my experience that the miners tend to hold for a couple of months after the general economy does a downturn. This does not include pm's. Couldn't say on them.



To: Taikun who wrote (34111)1/29/2005 5:31:31 AM
From: E. Charters  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 39344
 
The rule is metal stocks peak BEFORE the metal price. Market cycles are known to be 10-20-40 months, but I am not sure the cyclical phase difference. One could say 10 months but it is often less than that. Gold was running about six months. In the last run up of gold the gold companies did not appear to lead. They may in retrospect have led, but it was not apparent to me.

EC<:-}



To: Taikun who wrote (34111)1/29/2005 7:52:38 AM
From: TheSlowLane  Respond to of 39344
 
Coxe said this week: "I’m not saying China won’t slow down, but we’re now at the stage where the second derivative from these numbers, there will be so much demand for oil and copper and nickel and lead and zinc and aluminum that these stocks still look extremely cheap."

Message 20996114