To: nextrade! who wrote (26773 ) 1/31/2005 8:40:55 PM From: nextrade! Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849 Base cuts expected to hit region hard pressherald.mainetoday.com They were shuttered one by one after the Iron Curtain fell: military installations throughout New England once important to the nation's defense against a Soviet threat but deemed obsolete when the Cold War ended. It's a legacy that hangs over the region still as the Pentagon prepares for another round of base cuts, which some military analysts expect to hit New England hard despite efforts to adapt installations to the war on terror and homeland defense. "The end of the Cold War - and the shift of concern to terrorism - is drawing the military away from New England," said Loren Thompson, a military analyst at the Lexington Institute, a Washington think tank. "There are just so many forces that are converging to hurt the region." New England already has lost several major installations, including Maine's Loring Air Force Base, seacoast New Hampshire's Pease Air Force Base and Massachusetts' Fort Devens. And more than 100 lesser-known bases have been closed since the first round of base closures more than a decade ago, according to the Massachusetts Defense Technology Initiative, which raises money to lobby on behalf of the region's bases and save them from the latest round of closures. Officials won't specify how many of about 400 domestic bases are targeted this year - nor if any in New England are singled out - but they say the military has 24 percent more capacity than needed, and there are plenty of places to trim. Under review in New England are two Army facilities: the Soldier Systems Center in Natick, Mass., and the Cold Regions Research Lab in Hanover, N.H.; and three Air Force facilities in Massachusetts: Hanscom Air Force Base, Westover Air Reserve Base and Cape Cod's Otis Air National Guard Base. There also are Navy facilities: the Brunswick Naval Air Station and Portsmouth Naval Shipyard in Maine; the New London Submarine Base in Groton, Conn.; and the Navy War College and Undersea Warfare Center in Newport, R.I. There also are dozens of other smaller facilities. Recommendations for closings are due May 16 to a nine-member Base Realignment and Closure - or BRAC - commission. Defense leaders say the closures, the first since 1995, could save billions of dollars from an already-bulging defense budget. "Do we realize that we're in the fight of our life? Absolutely. We know there will be a substantial reduction," said Jim Brett, president of the New England Council in Boston, a group that has lobbied on behalf of the region's bases. Some analysts say a dense population and a harsh climate that restrict how and where military units can train hurt bases in New England. They also point to aging bases with outdated missions as being vulnerable. Michael O'Hanlon, a foreign policy scholar at the Brookings Institution in Washington, said these same factors apply to other parts of the country and don't paint New England as particularly doomed. Yet even beyond terrorism, military concerns such as threats from China and Iran offer little security for New England bases, he says. "The Iran scenario works more to the advantage of the Pacific-based submarine yards. And that could leave New England more vulnerable," O'Hanlon said. Bases around the country have spent the last year touting their abilities in hopes of being considered essential to homeland defense. Many have redefined their core missions and proposed expansions to include more than one military branch. In Massachusetts, Hanscom is considering adding 1.2 million square feet of high-tech research space, and Maine officials in Brunswick have compiled documents stressing the base's capabilities, which could include the construction of a proposed $42 million regional center to train National Guard and reserve soldiers. Pentagon leaders say the process is removed from politics, but community commissions and congressional delegations have spent months lobbying. In Connecticut, lawmakers set aside $350,000 to argue the merits of the Groton submarine base amid worries the Navy could slash its submarine fleet from about 55 to 37. "We really have to be certain that all of the arguments in favor of the installations are not overlooked. You don't want to assume the Defense Department will be aware of all factors," said U.S. Sen. Olympia Snowe, R-Maine. U.S. Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, thinks BRAC should be delayed until the Pentagon fully assesses its needs in the war on terrorism. "Until we know what our needs are, it seems to me to be foolhardy," she said. Jay Korman with DFI International, a Washington-based defense consulting firm, says New England has been hurt by past base closings but there's no reason to think that makes the region any less vulnerable in the next round of closings. "If you're a community that is hosting a base with a question mark on it, you have to be concerned," he said. "You won't get much sympathy for being hit hard before."