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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (22591)	2/1/2005 4:00:49 PM
From: John Vosilla	Respond to of 116555

<The party is over when a) there is no home equity left b) fear of a credit crunch set in c) lending standards tighten d) the home construction boom ends e) there is a significant and sustained turn down in jobs f) consumers simply refuse to take on more debt.> The best leading indicator this time out will be a big increase in new foreclosure filings. We are at record lows in many coastal bubble markets today though it is something to keep an eye on. Some weak midwestern markets are already at record highs not reached since the late 80's even with these low interest rates.