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Politics : Israel to U.S. : Now Deal with Syria and Iran -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Chas. who wrote (6919)	2/2/2005 5:30:02 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 22250

Re: this is all under control, our PNAC, our NeoCons are implementing the correct policies... Indeed, and here's a clue to your Judeocons' "correct policy": [...] Dr Shmuel Bar, a senior research fellow at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya near Tel Aviv says the chances of Israeli military action are low. "If we act unilaterally, we will be blamed, the Iranians will react, and we will not get public American backing," he told IPS. Israel, he added, must not turn the Iranian nuclear issue into an Israeli problem. "It is first and foremost an American problem." The US cannot accept a nuclear Iran which would be able to "dictate its positions in the Gulf and in Iraq", says Bar. He foresees disagreement between Europe and the US, leading ultimately to unilateral American action. "There could be an oil embargo on Iran with the American Sixth Fleet blocking passage [of Iranian vessels] in the Gulf." A growing number of experts now argue that a military option no longer exists because Iran has spread its nuclear facilities across the country and has not concentrated them in one place, as was the case in Iraq. There have also been reports of Tehran setting up dummy nuclear facilities. A single air strike, therefore, would be insufficient to knock out Iran's program. What is more, Israel is aware that Tehran would likely respond, possibly with long-range missiles. This might explain why some in the US today talk of regime change in Iran, rather than of military action. It is also questionable whether Bush, mired in Iraq, has the appetite for another major military escapade. But Shmuel Bar does not rule out the possibility of US military action. "Bush is an ideological president and he isn't going to be running for a third term," he says. atimes.com Remember: I told you that another war against Iran could only be possible following yet another 911-like outrage --which I expected to be either a (Hezbollah) devastating strike on Israel or the assassination of President G.W. Bush. But now, thanks to Dr Shmuel Bar's hint, we can cross out the first option....