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Biotech / Medical : NTII - Miscellaneous -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lazarre who wrote (1140)2/7/2005 6:33:35 PM
From: John McCarthy  Respond to of 1296
 
Hi Zazarre -

Sorry I did not get back to you sooner .....

(a) I own around 35,000 shares.

(b) Everyone is free to speculate about NTI's
need to do another placement.

my speculation is that they are $15 million
short and therefore will have to do one.

I don't want to spend energy defending this *feeling*
but I threw these numbers out on Yahoo some
weeks ago .... they are a road map and probably
better estimates could be made ....

NOTE:
I would NOT recommend NTII to anyone ...
too many loose ends ...

Yahoo post
==========

Cash (all accounts)

(a) Beginning Balance 9/30/04
************
ON HAND
************
$16,581

Plus

************
INFLOWS
************
(b) Estimated Inflows for 5
Quarters

Royalties:
(1) This quarter $765
(2) Jan-Mar-05 $1,000
(3) Apl-Jun-05 $1,100
(4) Jul-Sep-05 $1,200
(5) Oct-Dec-05 $1,300
------------------------
Total $5,365
-----------------------

equals

************
(c)Total Available Cash
************
$21,946 (a) + (b)

less

************
OUTFLOWS
************
(d)Estimated OutFlows for 5
Quarters

(1) This quarter $2,000
(2) Jan-Mar-05 $2,500
(3) Apl-Jun-05 $2,700
(4) Jul-Sep-05 $3,000
(5) Oct-Dec-05 $3,300
------------------------
Total $13,500
-----------------------

************
NET CASH
************
(e) AT Sept 30 - 2005

---------------------
$8,446 (c) minus (d)
=====================

=================
end Yahoo post
=================
Error:(e) Should really say Dec 31, 2005

One of the weird things on the horizon
maybe as follows:

(1) Xerecept works - but

(a) No way to finance a sales team to sell it, and,
(b) sales effort reduced by limited product need

i.e. used only in chronic because of the (anticipated
huge) cost difference between Xerecept vs Dex_I_cant
spell_the_rest current steriod in use.

Finally, it goes without saying that I hope
I am dead wrong about all the stuff above,
and time will tell.

Whether I stay here or not largely depends on
the upcoming results of the DN P2 trial.

regards,
John