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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: westpacific who wrote (25795)	2/15/2005 1:47:52 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

what is your forecast for crude oil ? and how does it mix with your USDollar forecast ? I see oil and gold separated those who see all commodities running together missed the mark rising energy prices are economically smothering they lead to liquidations, bankruptcies, economic distress for that reason, high oil price goes with secular deflation prevailing, and thus lower gold prices the fight for their lives you describe is equivalent to a fight to prevent SECULAR DEFLATION from winning out unfortunately, the Fed Reflation initiative is a grand failure most new money has gone to household consumer debt to mortgage debt on overpriced housing to central bank intervention to commodity investment EACH SUPPORTS SECULAR DEFLATION, since each must be unwound I see the resurgent euro currency rise soon to marry the resurgent crude oil rise, WHICH WILL ESTABLISH THE PETRO-EURO INFORMAL STANDARD Russia will be the spearhead force behind it your take on oil? much depreciated, jim