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Politics : The Iraq War And Beyond -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ed Huang who wrote (7875)2/6/2005 9:45:30 PM
From: Ed Huang  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9018
 
U.S. Says Iran Atom Bomb Years Away, Tehran Defiant
Sun Feb 6, 2005 02:36 PM ET
reuters.com
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Both Neocons and Israel have known very well that the time is not on their side on the Iran nuclear issue. And they also aware that the wild card is Iran might get secrete helps from N Korea or Pakistan at some point to greatly speed up its nuclear weapon program, so it might not need years to get the bomb.

But now the US says Iran atom bomb still years away and support negotiation at this juncture, further proves that the US neocons do not want to attack Iran nuclear sites due to too much risks rather than feeling un-urgent. The neocons’ unwilling and passive move on this issue is just Israel’s nightmare. Israel is unwilling to attack Iran’s nuclear sites by itself either, because the risks would be even greater for itself if it did so.

The other possibility is Israel and US are preparing for a surprise attack. But this possibility is very slim, IMO, because a surprise attack would not reduce the existing political and military risks. And Iran is well prepared to fire back any time.



To: Ed Huang who wrote (7875)2/7/2005 3:38:26 AM
From: Yaacov  Respond to of 9018
 
But like most people, I support justice and peace for the world we are living in."

I am pleased to know that, so am I.

"I believe the Israeli Likud party is leading Israel to a very dangerous direction with its aggressive policy, dangerous to both the world peace and to Israel’s own future
"

I could agree with you partially. The issue is not only the reckless plicy of Likud, but it can also be the reckless policy of Palestinians. We are not dealing with a centralized government, we deal with factions that go from one extreme to another. This makes the issue more complex. Ed, I don't know where do you live, HK, Peking, New York or No-Name, Mississipi. One thing is sure, you simply don't understand the mistrust that Israelis have for Palestinians or vice versa. Not everybody in Israel votes for Likud, but the mainsteam Israelis don't trust Palestinians. They have become pawns in the hand of Al Qaeda and Islamic Foundemtalism. In fact the issue is not longer the Palestinian independence, it is mere survival of State of Israel against the Hordes.

Mistakes have been made, but if anyone is capabable of solving the problem it is Sharon. I know Arabs, they rather deal with strong Israel than with a weak Israel. I believe that the peace is on hand,now that Arafat is out of the way. Like you, I hope it will be a just peace for all. It does not diminish the fact that Israel needs to be strong and alert. After half a century of war, we can not simply let down our gaurds and get caught with our pants down.