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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (217831)2/7/2005 9:44:09 AM
From: combjelly  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572956
 
"Experts estimate that by the year 2040, we will have over a million people in the United States over the age of 100."

I am dubious about that, but let's say that is the case. The original concern voiced was what happens when most people start living to 120. By 2040, we will have an estimated population of 400 million. 1 million out of 400 million is 0.25%. Which is reasonably close to zero. And we are only talking about age 100+, chances are excellent that the number of 120 year olds is going to be a very small handful, and possibly even zero.

Sure, geriatrics has had some effect. But not a lot. After all, the Bible talks about man's allotted span being 3 score and 10. Over the past several thousand years and with all of our technology and resources, we have been able to stretch that out by 5 to 10 years. People don't come with a hard expiration date, but 70 or seems to be at least a "soft" one.

There is a web page of the oldest known humans. Note that many of them are not in first world countries and/or lived long before medical technology was much beyond the voodoo stage. This also makes the claimed age dubious. But even accepting them at face value, the list covers several hundred years and there are exactly two that reached 120. Considering the length of time and the percentage of the population covered, the list isn't all that long.

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