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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (25974)2/9/2005 2:51:03 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 110194
 
six rate hikes and the long end droops
carry trade boys running out of ammunition
Asian surplus recycle will continue ad infinitum

UNTIL TRADE WAR ERUPTS

The key is to follow the destination of the inflated money supply. Does new capital go to the furnace to heat up the living room (to produce vigorous activity), or onto the roof to weigh things down (to contribute to collapse)? The Fed has inflated the usual suspects, not the real economy. It has in fact severely damaged the real economy. Ultimately, the health and viability of a nation depends on the strength of its real economy, and in the USA the economic landscape is under siege of severe scorching.

the US monetary expansion is assisting many powerful secular deflation forces, like .....

absurd overpayment for housing
heavy debt loads atop heavier debt burdens
central bank seawall sandbags which later will sell USTBonds
speculation into rising commodities (incl energy) which act like an economic tax

the middle innings belong to secular deflation

after the crises, gold wins, price inflation worsens
but mainly again the COST STRUCTURE
this is the singlemost largest error in gold community
price inflation is squarely in the cost structures
NOT IN THE WAGE STRUCTURE, NOT IN THE PRICING OF GOODS

all systems are controlled by Asia and the USDollar decline
pricing power will remain non-existent even after the Asian currencys revalue upward
the USA will be the tail on the currency dog

/ jim