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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Siddhartha Gautama who wrote (60200)	2/8/2005 5:10:35 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

... perhaps they will find oil under some of their land and gold under other houses ;0) ... but, I suppose they can continue to go up in price, as in bubble top, once history is behind them, then fall and hard ... else monetary history is over, and hedge fund economy and carry trade industry actually can work Chugs, Jay

To: Siddhartha Gautama who wrote (60200)	2/9/2005 2:38:07 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Homebuilders - It is widely known that many hedge funds and individuals have VERY large short positions on the homebuilders.... Now, if you were running a competing hedge fund, you wouldn't wnat to go long and possibly squeeze the shorts, now would you ? Especailly if you did your homework on the individual stocks and couls see the likelyhood of good news comming on at least a few of the names.... With the large short positions already in place, it might be hard to locate shares for additional short selling...and many players will want to cover at least soem shorts so thay can free up margin for other opportunities.... So the near term downside is likely to be limited. Looking at the charts of TOL, KBH ,LEN ,BZH and others - looks a bit like a short squeeze or a parabolic move up. The Souhtern Pacific rail road runs though my town. I make a point to stay off the tracks when a train comes through... I'll wait until the homebuilders are below their 50 day moving average.