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To: Sweet Ol who wrote (39107)2/10/2005 7:51:54 PM
From: market_guy1  Respond to of 206223
 
robry had 183, pretty damn close!



To: Sweet Ol who wrote (39107)2/12/2005 8:44:07 AM
From: Dennis Roth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206223
 
Raymond James now estimates 985 Bcf at the end of season.
raymondjamesecm.com
With only 7 weeks left in the withdrawl season, my WAG is that it will be between 1100 and 1200 BCF.

>> I thought Robry was predicting a bigger draw. I wonder what happened? <<

Both Robry's and the EIA's numbers are estimates based on samples and they are sampling different things. Gas flows verses reports from a subset of storage facilities. What in remarkable is how close they often are. 183 and 176 are only 4% apart. What I like about Robry's numbers are that they are posted daily and you can see the draw number build day by day so the EIA number is rarely a big surprise.