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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (100197)	2/13/2005 1:26:15 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793765

Ed writes a stright analysis of the Iraqi election without all the "Mullahs are taking over" we are getting from the MSM. Note my bolding of something the MSM is not pointing out. Iraq's Democracy Yields Shared Power The elections held in Iraq last month have resulted in a parliament where no one faction gained a majority, meaning that a legislative coalition will have to form in order to select the executives of the new Iraqi government. The Iraqi turnout amounted to 8.5 million votes, close to the estimates of 60% that came after the polls closed: The Shiites likely will have to form a coalition in the 275-member National Assembly with the other top vote-getters — the Kurds and Prime Minister Ayad Allawi's list — to push through their agenda and select a president and prime minister. The president and two vice presidents must be elected by a two-thirds majority. ... The Shiite-dominated United Iraqi Alliance ticket received 4,075,295 votes, or about 48 percent of the total cast, Iraqi election officials said. The Kurdistan Alliance, a coalition of two main Kurdish factions, was second with 2,175,551 votes, or 26 percent, and the Iraqi List headed by the U.S.-backed Allawi finished third with 1,168,943 votes, or about 14 percent. Those three top finishers represent about 88 percent of the total, making them the main power brokers as the assembly chooses national leaders and writes a constitution. Since the election of the executives will require two-thirds of the parliament, the Sistani slate's 48% won't be nearly enough to form a government. The Shi'ites will need to form a coalition with either the Kurds, or with the Sunnis and some small groups that together took 12% of the votes for the assembly. The much-feared dominance of the Shi'ites -- which was always overblown -- has been avoided, and the political negotiations will have a salutary effect on interdenominational relations. Look for a Sunni to hold one of the top executive jobs, perhaps even Ayad Allawi again, as a way to encourage national unity and bring the Sunnis into the process. UPDATE: Allawi isn't a Sunni, he is a secular Shi'ite. Iraqi president Ghazi al-Yawer is a Sunni, one that enthusiastically supported the election, but his slate got less than one percent of the vote, making him an unlikely choice for PM. Still, I'd look to Allawi, whose slate also finished out of the running, to make it back into the executive, although I think a secular Sunni will be PM.

To: LindyBill who wrote (100197)	2/13/2005 2:13:51 PM
From: Lane3	Respond to of 793765

I note that Jeff tried to bring up Jordan's "history", but he got cut off by Howard Kurtz. I don't know if Jeff meant the other statements in 2004 and 2002 or his admission of selling out to Saddam in 2003. Kurtz himself brought the "sell-out" up.