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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (100502)2/15/2005 3:18:29 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793754
 
Turning Up the Heat on Syria
American Future
americanfuture.typepad.com
By Marc Schulman on Syria

The New York Times quotes a senior State Department spokesman as saying

We're going to turn up the heat on Syria, that's for sure. It's been a pretty steady progression of pressure up to now, but I think it's going to spike in the wake of this event [the assassination of the former Lebanese prime minister, Rafik Hariri]. Even though there's no evidence to link it to Syria, Syria has, by negligence or design, allowed Lebanon to become destabilized.

In my opinion, there's a good chance that this statement is setting the stage for US military action against Syria:

* As soon as the new Iraqi government is sworn in, it will claim (and rightly so) that, by harboring Iraqi Ba'athists, their weapons, and their money, and providing for their safe passage into Iraq, Syria is an aggressor nation.
* Under the terms of the UN Charter, Iraq, as a matter of self-defense, can respond to this aggression without UN approval.
* The Iraqi government will request that its ally -- the United States -- provide military assistance.
* We will grant their request.

On several occasions both before and immediately after the invasion of Iraq, convoys of trucks moving from Iraq to Syria were observed via satellite. At the time, it was speculated that these trucks were loaded with WMD being sent to Syria for safekeeping. Presumably, the satellites were able to observe where the trucks were unloaded. Those locations and terrorist training camps would be among the targets of a pinpoint US bombing campaign.