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Gold/Mining/Energy : PEAK OIL - The New Y2K or The Beginning of the Real End? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Raymond Duray who wrote (76)2/17/2005 12:00:50 PM
From: kryptonic6  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1183
 
The difference between the 70's doomsayers and now is that this is the real thing. We've had 30 years to make changes and we blew it.

I have said all along that wind power has the greatest potential and the highest EROEI ratio of all the renewable energy systems, but it's past time to start scaling it up. Realistically, at this point no efforts can make more than a dent. Dick Cheney knew that.

Cheney based our entire energy policy on peak oil back at his energy task force meetings in March 2001. Cheney has also fought tooth and nail for 3 and a half years to keep the details of those meetings private, almost certainly because they revealed concrete plans to invade Iraq:

CHENEY ENERGY TASK FORCE DOCUMENTS FEATURE MAP OF IRAQI OILFIELDS
judicialwatch.org

Our situation is so desperate that Cheney knew he had nothing to lose:

Connections between Dick Cheney's Energy Task Force, 9/11 and Peak Oil “On the Table”
fromthewilderness.com



To: Raymond Duray who wrote (76)2/17/2005 3:57:28 PM
From: kryptonic6  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1183
 
Expiration of Tax Credit Cripples Wind Energy

An expired tax credit darkens the wind industry's 2004 outlook.

January 23, 2004
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NOTE: Raymond: You wrote "Wind turbines are perhaps the most advanced of all alternative technologies with regard to EROEI, and could well be harnessed in an economically viable way to fuel cell production of hydrogen from H2O in the foreseeable future." I completely agree with you, but look at the political opposition to even extending a wind power tax credit! Our leadership and elected representatives are completely clueless. To quote Matt Savinar (again), expecting politicians to save you from the oil crash is like expecting the tobacco companies to save you from lung cancer.

Also, one notable excerpt: "...AWEA's goal of providing six percent of the nation's electricity by the year 2020." A whole 6% - Wow!!!

Be sure to check out the reader comments at the bottom.
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Nearly 1,700 MW of new wind electric generating capacity - enough to serve approximately 425,000 average homes - were installed in the U.S. in 2003, the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) said in a recent statement. The near-record performance for the American wind industry is overshadowed, however, by the failure of Congress to pass comprehensive energy legislation including a three-year extension of the wind energy production tax credit (PTC), an incentive that is vital to the industry's future growth. The credit expired December 31, 2003, leading to layoffs, stalled projects, and a negative near-term market outlook.

Washington D.C. - January 23, 2004 [SolarAccess.com]

AWEA is urging Congress to act quickly to extend the PTC so the American public can reap the rewards of a growing base of fuel- and emission-free wind power. The trade group said 2003 was very close to the best year ever in the U.S. in terms of installed capacity, with 1,687 MW of new wind power constructed, topped only by the 1,696 MW installed in 2001.

Current installed capacity in the U.S. is now over 6,370 MW, with utility-scale wind turbines installed in 30 states. The large buildup in capacity is a 36% increase over the installed wind power base in the U.S. at the beginning of the year. Over the last five years, U.S. wind capacity has expanded at an annual average rate of 28%, and preliminary indications are that 2003 continued the pattern of wind being t the fastest-growing electricity source in the world on a percentage basis. More wind power in the nation's power portfolio, AWEA said, means less reliance on fossil fuels, more economic development in rural areas, and more pollution-free electric power. With the PTC incentive, wind power is now in an increasingly competitive range with other generation sources, and the cost of wind-generated electricity is not affected by fuel price volatility.

However, instead of building on the momentum established in 2003, the wind industry in 2004 is again waiting for a clear signal from Congress that will ensure the stable finance environment needed to promote the industry's continued development.

"The record in 2001 and 2003 shows that the wind industry can ramp up quickly to meet the nation's power needs. However, like any new technology, wind power faces some market barriers. In order put this new technology to work for the American people, Congress should extend the wind energy production tax credit quickly," said AWEA Executive Director Randall Swisher. "Our members tell us that 2004 could have been an even better year than 2003 had the PTC extension in the energy bill gone into effect. There are thousands of megawatts of projects, representing billions of dollars in investments, that could move quickly if Congress takes action early in the year."

- The wind farms completed in 2003, AWEA said, will generate approximately $5 million in payments to landowners annually and create some 200 skilled, long-term jobs in areas where such employment is scarce, as well as short-term construction jobs and associated economic activity.

- The new wind capacity will displace emissions of three million tons of carbon dioxide (the leading greenhouse gas).

- Oklahoma, Illinois, and Ohio got their first installations of large-scale wind turbines. Both Spanish turbine manufacturer Gamesa and Indian manufacturer Suzlon installed their first machines in the U.S., both in Minnesota.

- Minnesota added the most new wind power (226 MW) of any state in 2003, moving back into third place in total capacity behind only California and Texas. Three other states topped the 200-MW mark in new installations in 2003: California, with 212 MW; New Mexico, with 205 MW; and Texas, with 204 MW. Leading states in cumulative capacity at year's end were California (2,043 MW), Texas (1,293 MW), Minnesota (563 MW), Iowa (472 MW), and Wyoming (285 MW). Minnesota-based construction firm Mortenson was involved in the construction of over 625 MW of the total added in the U.S. in 2003.

- More than half of the new capacity installed in 2003 consisted of GE Wind turbines. In its first full year in the market after having purchased Enron Wind in early 2002, GE Wind has been a strong player in the U.S. market.

The wind industry would only have to maintain an annual growth rate of about 18% to achieve AWEA's goal of providing six percent of the nation's electricity by the year 2020. The past year has shown that rate to be a readily achievable goal with strong and consistent policy support from federal and state governments.

READER COMMENTS ON THIS STORY

-- Concerned about WIND waste, January 28, 2004
What failure? Looks like congress is looking out for the tax payers and assuring 'alternative power' competes on a level playing field w/o continual subsidy!

-- Anonymous, February 1, 2004
The lack of action on the part of our Senators has affected my workplace directly. We make the 34m windblades that are attachec to the turbines. We have lost 61% of our workforce to a Temporary Lack Of Work "TLOW" layoff. I for one just don't understand how far up their butts the Senates heads are...I am so sick of "Good Ol' Boy, Pork-barrel politics..

renewableenergyaccess.com