SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: morokko65 who wrote (22041)2/18/2005 1:22:01 AM
From: nspolar  Respond to of 60914
 
morokk I like Rodin.

In case you didn't know (maybe you don't want to) I have done a lot of acoustics work (vibration stuff). Rodins application of FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) and inverse FFT analysis is something I have comtemplated, and I do believe it has some merit. He refers to this in his CALVF work, and bases his prediction on this, somewhat.

So .... hang on morokk, maybe Rodin will save us.

I think there was fellow who went pay for hire (can't remember his name - Merlin maybe) that actually did what Rodin suggests. I saw his website, and he had what looked like an FFT analyzer hooked up to his PC. He would have had to digitize the indice into a digitized time wave, feed it into his FFT analyzer, get the frequencies, then do an inverse FFT to make his indice time wave prediction. I followed him for a tad, and his record was not all that bad.

This may sound difficult, but with today's technology it is not that difficult at all, at least in principle. The problem lies in the fact that human psychology is involved, and FFT analyzers don't include this. They only know mathematics.

The best predictive mechanism I have seen utilizes a combination of things, but mainly cycle theory and astrology. At least that is what I have concluded to date, and I was not given privey to all of the details. I don't have it all figured out yet, but am going to work on it maybe, when I retire. I think the key is to correlate past market history to both cycle theory and astrology, and see how the market reacted to these issues in the past. Future predictions are then based on past correlations.

A lot of people follow the Bradley. The problem is this is but one factor, out of more than one factor. And I think we are seeing right in here there is some 'Bradley' effect, but it is less than exact.