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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (26909)	2/21/2005 7:16:14 PM
From: orkrious	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

I'm assuming that the U.S. flu season is probably peaking right now. probably. I am lying on the couch, typing on a laptop, covered with a blanket, achy all over, head ready to explode, sorry I''ve never gotten a flu shot before <ng>

To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (26909)	2/22/2005 2:42:52 AM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 110194

I don't think you can consider this season over. You can just look at the situation here in the US between Fujian and California strains. For Fujian, the season ended in January. The last two reporting periods which ended Feb 12 had no Fujian isolates. However, there were lots of California, although through the first week in January there were none. recombinomics.com For avian flu, the peak season is just getting started, which is one of the reason for the announcements. It is probably in full gear, but reports have completely dried up on human cases. My guess is that they are there and the public is getting warned before the bad news comes out. My guess is if a pandemic strain emerged in Asia in Feb, it could do some significant damage before the season ended, which could be as late as April. The 1918 pandemic began in the spring of 1918, and initial cases were mild. Today the virus can use airlines to spread worldwide in hours.