SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (27056)2/23/2005 2:06:13 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Perhaps if they let their currency appreciate the import bill would come down.

Who cares about import bills?
It only paper anyway.
It's our biggest export.
Japan does not have the hang of it cause they can not get prices to rise no matter what they do.

Remember Russ, they are BEGGING for prices to rise.
You are trying to tell them how they can get prices to fall.

Mish



To: russwinter who wrote (27056)2/23/2005 4:36:40 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 110194
 
also, re Japan, they are offshoring a huge amount of their mfg business to China
just like the USA offshored to Asia from 1980 to 2000

I wonder how that is affecting Japan's net trade surplus

the bigger issue is that what the USA imported from Japan, we now tend to import from China
and sometimes from a Japanese owned firm with mfring in China

my conclusion is that Japan will slowly get bled by China,
the same way the USA has been bled by Asia for over two decades
/ jim



To: russwinter who wrote (27056)2/24/2005 1:03:47 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Perhaps the charts give us the answer to the inflation versus deflation debate. Looking at the 10 year treasury rate it bottomed 20 months ago and has had two higher lows since and one higher high. Two bounces off the bottom have averaged 125 basis points. A second higher high with this next top in the 5.25% range would be confirmation of an established trend to higher long term rates.

139.142.147.218

The move to 5.25% should break the long term 23 year downtrend in long term rates as further confirmation that we are in a new era.

finance.yahoo.com



To: russwinter who wrote (27056)2/24/2005 3:58:47 AM
From: Michael Bidder  Respond to of 110194
 
<...the big problem that Japan is having with it's trade surplus right now ...the high import prices/inflation on commodities, oil, input and capital goods..

What about the changing demographics of their work force.