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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kumar who wrote (158459)2/25/2005 2:33:12 AM
From: Elsewhere  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
India world's largest nation by 2030, UN says
Thu Feb 24, 2005 10:13 PM ET
news.yahoo.com

UNITED NATIONS, (AFP) - India will overtake China as the world's most populous nation by 2030, five years earlier than had been expected, according to a new UN study.

The UN's latest global population report predicted that India, at 1.103 billion people this year, would reach 1.593 billion by 2050, while China will go from 1.316 billion to 1.392 billion.

But India will actually surpass China as early as 2030 -- the last such report had predicted in 2035 -- according to the latest available data about birth rates in the two countries, UN demographer Cheryl Sawyer said.

"Today, India's fertility rate is over three children per woman while China's is about 1.7," Sawyer told AFP.

"That's what's going to be causing the (earlier) crossover," she said. "The data from China indicate that fertility is a bit lower than we had previously thought."

The report also forecast that world population will hit 9.1 billion by 2050, a jump of 2.6 billion people -- with India and Pakistan seeing the biggest increases.

...

unpopulation.org

World Population Prospects
The 2004 Revision - Highlights
un.org