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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (27142)2/24/2005 1:37:00 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 110194
 
great article there Russ: short and to the point. thanks.
please keep us posted: nothing matters more imo than those charts...



To: russwinter who wrote (27142)2/24/2005 1:55:49 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Russ,

I don't know how the homebuilder stocks will perform but the companies, from an FA perspective, are pretty strong.

Most of them got cash.

Most of them got a ton on backlog.

Most of them got inventory diversified in broad geographic regions.

None appears to be all that aggressive in building unsold inventory.

So that may all change, but due to what? Higher interest rates? Unemployment? Real estate bubble bursting? I believe if those events are to occur, there are many other sectors that will be hurt first, and far more severely than the homebuilders. (again from a FA perspective)

As Bobbie Toll said yesterday - THE SHORTS WILL BE CRUSHED.

Ramsey



To: russwinter who wrote (27142)2/24/2005 3:40:52 PM
From: Bridge Player  Respond to of 110194
 
Curious to know if any of those who bought puts on homebuilders are still hanging on. Wondering about the point at which to throw in the towel.