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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (102092)2/24/2005 5:58:36 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793838
 
California Insider -
Remap poll entrails

A reader just asked me why I thought non-partisans in the Field Poll showed the lowest level of support for Schwarzenegger's redistricting proposal. The results:

Republicans: 61-24
Democrats: 42-47
No party/other: 38-52

That's a good question, given that a fair redistricting would tend to at least modestly increase the number of centrists in the Legislature, which you'd think would appeal to people who are not registered with a party.

One answer might be that non-partisans are not necessarily centrist. They might be people who are on the fringes, outside the mainstream of either party.

Another possibility is that the redistrcting issue seems like (and is) "inside baseball" and thus immediately turns off those people who already are turned off by the major parties. They see it as something that doesn't concern them.

Another answer in the poll is also intriguing and related. The more you know about redistricting, the more you support the governor's plan.

knowledge

great deal/some: 56-33
only a little: 46-42
nothing at all: 39-45

This suggests to me that a good campaign aimed at educating everyone with some focus on non-partisans would probably put the measure over the top.

Posted by dweintraub at 11:59 AM

Special election cost

Aside from the specifics on the issues in the Field Poll, much is being made (mainly by Democrats) of the public's distaste for a special election once they hear how much it will cost. This reminds me of the Davis recall campaign, when the same issue at first appeared salient but later faded. Until I see otherwise, I'll assume that California voters like to vote, and when you give them a chance to change state policy, they'll take it. Voters tend to forgive the cost of a special election as the voting draws near and they lick their chops at getting another chance at direct democracy.

sacbee.com