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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (27238)	2/25/2005 3:27:16 PM
From: ild	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

Watching interest rate curve flattening is like watching a movie where two trains are about to collide. You know what the result is going to be: idorfman.com

To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (27238)	2/25/2005 4:20:46 PM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

For lurkers here who are worried (as well they should) about a "kissing our asses" good-bye scenario this spring, and who aren't able to try and trade and outguess every liquidity injection and trading desk ramp job, I would recommend a simple investment program. Load up on three and six month treasuries through Treasury Direct (at the auction, don't pay a broker), publicdebt.treas.gov and beat the runs on the banks, when this turd mobile comes unravelled. The bills won't protect you in a USD collapse, but it will beat loans to financial institutions. Then get some gold through one of the ETFs. $412-$420 was the gift opportunity but even $435 should work, and then buy some SPY at the money puts: Portfolio might look like this: 40% 3 month T-bills 40% 6 month T-Bills 5% 2 year Treasury note 13% Gold ETF Bear speculation/insurance: 1-2% SPY April 122 puts implied volality is one of lowest readings in a age, means you are paying small premiums for a lot of control should the market bust big. finance.yahoo.com 1%, a trip to Costco for essentials, to cover for a China collapse should the proprietary trading desks elect to use "liquidity" and more cheap money from Japan to run oil up to $60-$70, copper to $1.80, lumber to $5 bucks, etc, etc. Energy stocks have now joined in on bubble status, get rid of them.