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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (27358)2/28/2005 12:18:54 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
Russ, Here is an interesting chart on inflation (from The Economist):
infoproc.blogspot.com

The Fed uses an "Equivalent Rent" in their calculation of CPI. If instead they used the price of housing, inflation would be substantially higher.

Last year, the Fed acknowledged that CPI was probably somewhat understating inflation because of the rent calculation ... and interestingly, that if interest rates rose, CPI would go up at first as rents rose in relation to housing prices.

The other way to look at this (other than understating inflation) is that this is more evidence of a housing bubble.

Best Regards!



To: russwinter who wrote (27358)2/28/2005 12:20:52 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Also ... over the weekend, I posted some charts on the Federal Budget, SS and more ...

calculatedrisk.blogspot.com



To: russwinter who wrote (27358)3/13/2005 6:52:50 PM
From: croesus1111  Respond to of 110194
 
Another example of "no inflation":

The last time I had by bicycle tuned up (two or three years ago) it was $25 at the high end store. I brought it in to a middle-brow store yesterday: $50. Calling around town, it seems to be a standard price.