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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elroy who wrote (221420)	3/2/2005 7:36:35 AM
From: Road Walker	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1573924

re: Think of the endgame in Iraq. How is there a scenario where the "insurgent" killers win, and the fledgling government vanishes? It seems 90% likely that the opposite occurs, which would be a resounding success for American policy. You have three groups pulling in distinctly different directions. You still have ~60 attacks a day by insurgents, blowing themselves up. You have a country that has little or no infrastructure. You have dangerous neighboring countries that have vital ethnic, religious and economic interests in the outcome. You have, hell, I don't know, 15,000 people fully trained in terrorist tactics. On the other side, you have one election, that took 200K troops and police to pull off. It's the first inning. Lot's of things are going to happen in Iraq, and we don't know what they are. I would say it's 90% certain that things are going to break bad and get worse. John

To: Elroy who wrote (221420)	3/2/2005 8:38:55 AM
From: SilentZ	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1573924

>Why do you think Iraq is in "total chaos", as opposed to getting better and better by the month? More Iraqis and Americans being killed... also, that a friend of mine who is stationed there as an Army officer has led me to believe that... -Z