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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: energyplay who wrote (60700)	3/4/2005 7:27:45 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi ep, Rotation and Cash raising... investorshub.com recap.. out all PMT.UN STM.V OZN.V yum yum ok out 2/3 ARQ.. loss more than modest but not huge.. but OUCH! out 1/2 PYR, 1/2 VKR.UN yum yum Added CPT .67-.69 last few days. so far so good yum bot CMK LEG BGO CLG all flat bot CLL.TO .75-.84 (mostly under .80 :O) bot IFR.V PRD.V 2.23-2.29 out 2/3 SWP .. yum yum bot VGZ 4.83 avg bot EPL.V moving up nicely from .66 out 2/5 Diaz .645-.71 from avg .54 good bot QRL avg .435 down... oh well sold 1/5 CKG (BLASPHEMY I SAY) 7.05 yum... bot @ 6. > 25% cash.. I'm gonna be away skiing and what not in for 10 days in 2 weeks... raising more cash... OIL looks like Nasdaq 1999 and oh yeah Loonie ? Par Schmarr... :O) Oh yes I have a lot of Tinka... and a lotto ticket called Zenda (not recomended... LOL) regards Kastel

To: energyplay who wrote (60700)	3/4/2005 1:01:43 PM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 74559

Forget the gas pump. The price you'll be steaming about by summer will be what you pay for coffee. Java lovers' jolt: Price is going up Tight world inventories of coffee mean that a cup -- or a pot -- of your favorite brew could cost quite a bit more soon. BY HARRIET JOHNSON BRACKEY Miami Herald Forget the gas pump. The price you'll be steaming about by summer will be what you pay for coffee. Miami's coffee traders and roasters expect prices to jump 50 percent -- or more -- because world inventories are tight and Brazil, the largest producer, is expecting a smaller-than-average crop. That means your regular cup of Joe at the corner restaurant might jump from 90 cents now to about $1.35. ''Right now it's pure speculation about how much, but there is no question that coffee prices have been going up,'' said José Enrique Souto, vice president of Miami's Rowland Coffee Roasters, which owns Café Bustelo and Café Pilon. Local roasters who take the green beens and turn them into what consumers recognize have already seen their costs per pound go up 60 percent since September, from 75 cents then to more than $1.20 now. ''Up, up, up, to the skies,'' moans Rafael Acevedo, president of Colonial Coffee Roasters in Miami. He raised prices to his commercial customers in mid-January and is considering doing so again soon. COSTS FILTER DOWN Those price increases eventually trickle down to the local coffee shop or doughnut store. Latoya Christian, night manager at the Dunkin' Donuts at 18450 NW Second Ave., said her store's coffee prices went up just two months ago. A 16-ounce coffee went from $1.39 to $1.49 -- a 7 percent increase. The price issue began brewing last year. The price of coffee futures -- financial instruments traded on a market for future delivery of commodities -- jumped 60 percent, more than crude oil. The reason: tight supplies worldwide. Demand was growing, from Starbucks Corp. and other buyers. At the same time, crops were beginning to shrink in Brazil, Vietnam and Indonesia. Together, those countries account for 48 percent of global coffee-bean exports, Bloomberg News reported. SUPPLY, DEMAND Today, inventories of coffee are smaller than they've been in 15 years, Judith Ganes-Chase, president of J. Ganes Consulting of New York, told Bloomberg. She told an East African growers' conference in Zambia Thursday that global coffee production may fall to between 105 and 107 million bags in the 2005-2006 season, from as much as 120 million bags in 2004-2005. Growers, of course, are glad to see the higher prices, because the coffee market had hit historic low prices only 2 ½ years ago. ''The coffee industry is concerned about the entire supply chain and the well-being of everyone in the producing world,'' Joseph DeRupo of the National Coffee Association said. About 400 members of the group are meeting this weekend in Aventura. You might see the sticker shock in a month. Souto expects that if the price stays around $1.20 a pound for three or four weeks, retail consumers will begin to see a jump of 35 to 45 cents a pound at the supermarket. By summer, that $2.99 pound of Folgers at Publix would be $4.47 if the prediction of a 50 percent increase pans out. EYES ON BRAZIL'S CROP Brazil's production is key. Souto says its crop usually runs between 30 and 45 million bags. When the figure is closer to 30 million, higher prices would be expected. ''If there is any kind of problem in the winter in Brazil, that will have an incredible effect in the market,'' Souto said. ``Prices could be double what you see right now.'' MANY DIE-HARDS When consumers are faced with higher prices, will they drink? ''I think that people who are die-hard coffee drinkers will continue to drink, as I will,'' said Denise Volpicello, general manager of Les Halles, a brasserie in Coral Gables. ``Some of us can't get moving without it.'' But she has no plans to raise prices on her restaurant's $3 French press for two. That's something she says the restaurant would consider only ``if we had no choice.'' Herald business writer Brad Lehman contributed to this report.